Miami (OH) vs. Toledo betting: College basketball preview for March 3

Data Skrive

A pair of hot teams square off when the No. 19 Miami (OH) RedHawks (29-0, 16-0 MAC) host the Toledo Rockets (16-13, 10-6 MAC) on Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Rockets are 8-point underdogs and will attempt to keep their 29-game win streak allive against the RedHawks, winners of 29 straight. The point total is set at 162.5 for the matchup.

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Miami (OH) Cover -8 vs Toledo -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Miami (OH) vs. Toledo betting lines

  • Miami (OH) moneyline odds to win: -413
  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: +312
  • Spread: Miami (OH) (-8)
  • Total: 162.5

Miami (OH) statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Miami (OH) has done a better job covering the spread in road games (10-3-0) than it has in home games (8-4-0).
  • The RedHawks have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (75%) than games on the road (46.2%).
  • Miami (OH), as a moneyline favorite, has the same winning percentage when playing at home (11-0 record) and away from home (10-0 record).

Recent trends

  • The RedHawks have been racking up 85.1 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 90.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • The past 10 games have seen Miami (OH) give up 1.1 more points per game (75.0) than its season-long average (73.9).
  • Over their past 10 outings, the RedHawks are making 2.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.1 compared to 10.3 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (33.5% compared to 39.2% season-long).

Miami (OH) betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-7-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 10-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8+: 8-5-0 (As Favorite: 15-7-0; As Underdog: 4-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-9-1 (Home: 9-2-1; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-0 (Home: 11-0; Away: 10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-0 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
52.7 (first in nation) 42.9 (98th) 32.9 (119th) 29.8 (101st) 16.3 (52nd) 9.9 (65th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Miami (OH) vs. Toledo? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Toledo statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Toledo has a lower winning percentage at home (.417, 5-7-0 record) than on the road (.615, 8-5-0).
  • Rockets games have finished above the over/under less often at home (five times out of 12) than on the road (six of 13) this season.
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Rockets have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (2-6).

Recent trends

  • The Rockets are averaging 78.2 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 3.0 fewer points than their average for the season (81.2).
  • Toledo has fared better defensively over its previous 10 games, ceding 73.6 points per contest, 3.3 fewer points than its season average of 76.9 allowed.
  • The Rockets are draining 7.4 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.4 more than their average for the season (7.0). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (37.9%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (35.9%).

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.3 (36th in nation) 46.8 (315th) 30.4 (268th) 32.5 (271st) 15.4 (92nd) 9.9 (65th)
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