Michael Penix Jr. and the Atlanta Falcons match up against the AFC’s Miami Dolphins in a Week 8 NFL matchup at 1 p.m. ET Sunday. Below, we take a look at Penix’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you find the best bets for the player and this contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Michael Penix Jr. to go over 215.5 yards
Michael Penix Jr. Prop Lines
- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: October 26, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 215.5 (-112)
Michael Penix Jr. Stats and Trends
- Penix has thrown for 1,409 yards (234.8 per game), completing 61% of his passes, with five TDs and three INTs.
- Penix has thrown for 234.8 yards per game (19.3 above Sunday’s prop total).
- In six games this season, Penix has gone over 215.5 passing yards on four occasions.
- He has thrown for over his season prop average of 226.5 yards (by 8.3 yards per game).
- This year, Penix has gone over his passing yards total four times (66.7%).
- He has thrown for a touchdown in four of six games this year, including more than one TD pass one time.
- Penix has added 43 yards on 17 carries and one touchdown, averaging 7.2 yards rushing per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 262 | 1 |
| 2 | Patriots | 211 | 2 |
| 3 | Bills | 203 | 3 |
| 4 | Jets | 207 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 179 | 2 |
| 6 | Chargers | 263 | 2 |
| 7 | Browns | 102 | 0 |
Falcons Home Splits
- In home games, the Falcons score 26 points per game and concede 21.3. That’s more than they score (18.3) and concede (20) overall.
- At home, the Falcons accumulate 412 yards per game and give up 281.7. That’s more than they gain (364.3) and allow (265.2) overall.
- The Falcons’ average passing yards gained (276.3) and conceded (154.3) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 228 and 141.2, respectively.
- The Falcons accumulate 135.7 rushing yards per game at home (0.6 less than their overall average), and concede 127.3 at home (3.3 more than overall).
- The Falcons convert 43.6% of third downs in home games (1.3% higher than their overall average), and concede 32.3% at home (5.9% lower than overall).
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