Michael Penix Jr.’s Atlanta Falcons match up against the AFC’s New England Patriots at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 9 of the 2025 NFL campaign. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Penix’s outing.

Michael Penix Jr. Prop Lines

• Matchup: Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: November 2, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 227.5 (-111)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 5.5 (-107)

Michael Penix Jr. Stats and Trends

• Michael Penix Jr. has passed for 1,409 yards (234.8 per game), completing 61% of his passes, with five TDs and three INTs.
• Penix is passing for 234.8 yards per game, which is 7.3 higher than his over/under on Sunday.
• In four of six matchups this year, Penix has topped 227.5 passing yards.
• He has passed for more than his season prop average of 226.5 yards (by 8.3 yards per game).
• So far this season, Penix has eclipsed his passing yards prop total in four of six opportunities.
• He completed a touchdown pass in four of six games this year — including multiple TD throws once.
• Penix has also rushed 17 times for 43 yards and one TD.

Recent Performances vs. the Patriots

Falcons Away Splits

• The Falcons score fewer points in road games (10.7 per game) than they do overall (17.1), but also allow fewer on the road (18.7 per game) than overall (22).
• The Falcons pick up 316.7 yards per game in road games (26 fewer than overall), and give up 248.7 away from home (26.9 fewer than overall).
• The Falcons accumulate fewer passing yards on the road (179.7 per game) than they do overall (219.4), but they also give up fewer on the road (128 per game) than overall (149.1).
• The Falcons pick up more rushing yards in away games (137 per game) than they do overall (123.3), and allow fewer in road games (120.7 per game) than overall (126.4).
• The Falcons convert more third downs away from home (41%) than they do overall (39.3%), but they also allow opponents to convert on more (43.2%) than overall (39.5%).