Michael Wilson and the Arizona Cardinals take the field against the NFC’s Atlanta Falcons in a Week 16 NFL matchup at 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday. Below, we take a look at Wilson’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you pick out the top bets for the player and this contest.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Michael Wilson to go over 58.5 yards
Michael Wilson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 58.5 (-111)
Michael Wilson Stats and Trends
- Wilson has put up 66 catches for 766 yards and four TDs this campaign so far this year. He has been targeted on 105 occasions, and averages 54.7 yards receiving.
- Wilson picks up 54.7 receiving yards per game, 3.8 less than his prop total set for Sunday’s matchup.
- In 28.6% of his games this year (four out of 14), Wilson has totaled over 58.5 receiving yards.
- His 54.7 receiving yards per game are 17.2 more than his average over/under (37.5).
- Wilson has hit the over on his receiving yards prop bet in 50.0% of his games (seven of 14).
- In three of 14 games this season, he has a touchdown catch (including one occasion with more than one TD).
Recent Performances vs. the Falcons
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | 159 | 3 |
| 2 | Vikings | 120 | 0 |
| 3 | Panthers | 114 | 0 |
| 4 | Commanders | 147 | 2 |
| 6 | Bills | 157 | 2 |
| 7 | 49ers | 150 | 0 |
| 8 | Dolphins | 197 | 4 |
| 9 | Patriots | 221 | 2 |
| 10 | Colts | 196 | 1 |
| 11 | Panthers | 419 | 3 |
| 12 | Saints | 214 | 0 |
| 13 | Jets | 159 | 1 |
| 14 | Seahawks | 236 | 3 |
| 15 | Buccaneers | 250 | 2 |
Cardinals Home Splits
- The Cardinals’ average points scored (22) and allowed (29.6) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 21.6 and 27.7, respectively.
- At home, the Cardinals rack up 337.7 yards per game and give up 358.1. That’s more than they gain (333.4) and allow (351.1) overall.
- At home, the Cardinals accumulate 255.6 passing yards per game and concede 236.1. That’s more than they gain (238.4) and allow (226.6) overall.
- The Cardinals accumulate 82.1 rushing yards per game at home (12.9 less than their overall average), and concede 122 at home (2.5 less than overall).
- The Cardinals convert 39.6% of third downs at home (2.6% lower than their overall average), and give up 34.6% at home (4.4% lower than overall).
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