The No. 19 Illinois Fighting Illini (13-4, 5-2 Big Ten) are slight underdogs (by 3 points) to build on a four-game road win streak when they visit the No. 12 Michigan State Spartans (15-2, 6-0 Big Ten) on Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 158.5.
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Michigan State Cover -3 vs Illinois -110
Michigan State vs. Illinois betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -154
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: +129
- Spread: Michigan State (-3)
- Total: 158.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Michigan State did a better job covering the spread in home games (11-7-0) last season than it did in road games (5-5-0).
- The Spartans exceeded the total in seven of 18 home games (38.9%) last season. They fared better in away games, eclipsing the total in five of 10 matchups (50%).
- Michigan State won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home last year, going 12-4 (.750). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it had a record of 3-4 (.429).
Recent trends
- The Spartans’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 84.1 points per contest compared to the 81.8 they’ve averaged this season.
- Michigan State has been less stingy on defense as of late, allowing 67.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.1 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Spartans are making 0.8 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.4 compared to 5.6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (33.9% compared to 28.7% season-long).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-6-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3+: 8-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-5-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-10-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (51st in nation) | 39.9 (36th) | 37.3 (14th) | 27.5 (22nd) | 18.6 (eighth) | 11.5 (193rd) |
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Illinois statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Illinois has been better against the spread at home (6-4-0) than on the road (2-2-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Fighting Illini games have gone over three of 10 times at home (30%), and three of four away (75%).
- The Fighting Illini, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (1-0) this season.
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Fighting Illini are posting 86.0 points per contest, 1.3 fewer points than their season average (87.3).
- Illinois is ceding 71.4 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 67.3 points allowed.
- The Fighting Illini are sinking 1.0 fewer threes per game over their last 10 games (9.5) compared to their season average (10.5), and they are delivering a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.8%) compared to their season mark (33.2%).
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-1 (Home: 3-6-1; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (174th in nation) | 38.5 (13th) | 42.4 (second) | 29.4 (85th) | 15.2 (101st) | 11.2 (155th) |
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