The No. 3 seed Michigan State Spartans (26-7) are favored by 4.5 points against the No. 6 seed Louisville Cardinals (24-10) for their NCAA Tournament matchup on Saturday. A trip to the Sweet 16 will be awarded to the winner of the 3-6 East Region bracket contest, which tips off at 2:45 p.m. ET on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 151.5.
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Michigan State Cover -4.5 vs Louisville -115
Michigan State vs. Louisville betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -221
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: +177
- Spread: Michigan State (-4.5)
- Total: 151.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Spartans have seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 80.4 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.1 points more than the 79.3 they’ve scored this season.
- The past 10 games have seen Michigan State concede 7.9 more points per game (76.3) than its season-long average (68.4).
- Over their last 10 contests, the Spartans are making 0.5 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.2 compared to 7.7 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.2% compared to 36.3% season-long).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 9-12-0 (As Favorite: 14-13-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 16-17-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-3 (Home: 15-0; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (51st in nation) | 41.1 (34th) | 36.8 (16th) | 25.3 (first) | 18.7 (fourth) | 10.8 (174th) |
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Louisville statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Cardinals have performed worse offensively in their previous 10 games, putting up 79.0 points per contest, 5.7 fewer points their than season average of 84.7.
- Louisville has fared worse defensively in its previous 10 games, giving up 75.9 points per contest, 3.5 more points than its season average of 72.4.
- The Cardinals are making 0.6 fewer three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games (11.0) compared to their season average (11.6), but they are producing a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (37.7%) compared to their season mark (36.1%).
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-18-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 3-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 15-15-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
- O-U-P: 14-20-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-7 (Home: 14-1; Away: 3-5)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (62nd in nation) | 42.2 (63rd) | 36.2 (23rd) | 30.4 (133rd) | 17.1 (25th) | 11.6 (248th) |
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