The No. 10 Michigan State Spartans (19-3, 9-2 Big Ten) are favored (by 8.5 points) to continue a three-game road win streak when they visit the Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-12, 3-8 Big Ten) on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The point total in the matchup is set at 134.5.
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Michigan State Cover -8.5 vs Minnesota -108
Michigan State vs. Minnesota betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -450
- Minnesota moneyline odds to win: +344
- Spread: Michigan State (-8.5)
- Total: 134.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- At home, Michigan State owns a worse record against the spread (6-7-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (3-2-0).
- Looking at over/unders, the Spartans hit the over less consistently at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total four times in 13 opportunities this season (30.8%). On the road, they have hit the over two times in five opportunities (40%).
- In 11 home games as a moneyline favorite, Michigan State has 11 wins (1.000). It owns the same winning percentage (4-0 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Spartans have picked up their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 80.5 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 79.1 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Michigan State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 65.7 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 64.4 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2025-26 season.
- The Spartans’ 7.7 made three-pointers per-game average in their past 10 games are more than the 7.5 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of shots made, 34.2% compared to their season-long percentage of 35.0% from beyond the arc.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-10-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 5-8-0 (As Favorite: 10-8-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-15-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-0 (Home: 11-0; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (65th in nation) | 39.1 (11th) | 38.3 (eighth) | 24.9 (first) | 18.6 (ninth) | 11.4 (200th) |
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Minnesota statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Minnesota’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (6-6-0). Away, it is .429 (3-4-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Golden Gophers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (25%, three of 12) compared to away (57.1%, four of seven).
- This season the Golden Gophers are 2-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 1-5 (.167).
Recent trends
- While the Golden Gophers are averaging 71.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, amassing 69.4 points per contest.
- Minnesota is ceding 71.5 points per game over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.8 points allowed.
- The Golden Gophers are sinking 8.5 threes per contest with a 31.4% three-point percentage in their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.0 and 32.7%.
Minnesota betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-6-0; As Underdog: 5-7-0)
- O-U-P: 9-13-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (162nd in nation) | 42.9 (123rd) | 30.5 (280th) | 29.0 (69th) | 17.8 (23rd) | 10.3 (94th) |
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