The No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (28-6) will take to the court against the No. 10 seed New Mexico Lobos (27-7) on Sunday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. Michigan State is a 6.5-point favorite to take a step forward in the bracket, which begins at 8:55 p.m. ET on TNT. The matchup’s point total is set at 148.5.
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Michigan State Cover -6.5 vs New Mexico -111
Michigan State vs. New Mexico betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -304
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: +244
- Spread: Michigan State (-6.5)
- Total: 148.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Spartans’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 76.3 points a contest compared to the 78.4 they’ve averaged this year.
- Michigan State has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 65.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.1 it has surrendered per game this season.
- The Spartans’ past 10 outings have seen them make 7.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.5% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 6.1 makes and 31.1%.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 23-11-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 14-5-0 (As Favorite: 18-9-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-23-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (99th in nation) | 40.2 (19th) | 37.1 (seventh) | 28 (25th) | 16.8 (20th) | 10.8 (142nd) |
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New Mexico statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Lobos have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, compiling 74.7 points per contest, 6.4 fewer points their than season average of 81.1.
- Over its past 10 games, New Mexico is allowing 70 points per game, 0.6 fewer points than its season average (70.6).
- In their past 10 games, the Lobos are making 6.2 three-pointers per game, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (7). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (32.8%) compared to their season average (34.7%).
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-17-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 12-14-0; As Underdog: 4-3-0)
- O-U-P: 14-19-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 2-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (106th in nation) | 42.8 (113th) | 35.3 (25th) | 31.3 (189th) | 15.1 (75th) | 11.1 (173rd) |
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