The Oregon Ducks (8-10, 1-6 Big Ten) will attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the No. 10 Michigan State Spartans (16-2, 6-1 Big Ten) on Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at Matthew Knight Arena as heavy, 10.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 9 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The point total is 139.5 in the matchup.
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Michigan State Cover -10.5 vs Oregon -102
Michigan State vs. Oregon betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -595
- Oregon moneyline odds to win: +434
- Spread: Michigan State (-10.5)
- Total: 139.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread last season, Michigan State performed worse at home, covering 10 times in 16 home games, and seven times in nine road games.
- When playing at home last year, the Spartans exceed the over/under 25% of the time (four of 16 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 33.3% of games (three of nine).
- Michigan State performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games last season, putting up a home record of 15-1 home record, compared to going 3-1 away from home.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Spartans have been scoring 79.4 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 79.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Michigan State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (67.2) is 3.0 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (64.2).
- Over their past 10 outings, the Spartans are making 0.7 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.3 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.7% compared to 35.3% season-long).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-8-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 3-7-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 5-13-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-0 (Home: 10-0; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 (103rd in nation) | 39.0 (12th) | 39.1 (eighth) | 25.4 (first) | 18.7 (13th) | 11.6 (201st) |
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Oregon statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Oregon has a better winning percentage at home (.400, 4-6-0 record) than away (.250, 1-3-0).
- Ducks games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (five times out of 10) than on the road (one of four) this year.
- The Ducks, as moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-2) as on the road (0-2) this year.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Ducks are averaging 76.0 points per game, 0.8 more than their season average (75.2).
- In its previous 10 games, Oregon is surrendering 73.8 points per game, 0.8 fewer points than its season average (74.6).
- The Ducks are sinking 9.1 three-pointers per contest with a 34.7% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.7 and 33.5%.
Oregon betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-12-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 4-7-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
- O-U-P: 9-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (293rd in nation) | 43.4 (160th) | 33.9 (110th) | 29.9 (121st) | 14.9 (134th) | 12.3 (272nd) |
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