The Penn State Nittany Lions (8-2, 0-1 Big Ten) are heavy underdogs (by 11.5 points) to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (8-1, 1-0 Big Ten) on Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET. The matchup has a point total of 144.5.
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Michigan State Cover -11.5 vs Penn State -108
Michigan State vs. Penn State betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -781
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +540
- Spread: Michigan State (-11.5)
- Total: 144.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- When playing at home last season, Michigan State owned a worse record against the spread (10-6-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (7-2-0).
- The Spartans went over the total in a lower percentage of home games (25%) than road tilts (33.3%) last season.
- In home games last year, Michigan State won more often as a moneyline favorite, put up a record of 15-1 (.938). In away games, it was 3-1 (.750) as a moneyline favorite.
Last season stats
- The Spartans were 78th in college basketball in points scored (77.7 per game) and 44th in points allowed (67.1) last year.
- Michigan State was the 10th-best squad in the country in rebounds per game (36.7) and ranked 28th in rebounds allowed (28.2) last season.
- With 16.5 assists per game, the Spartans were 24th-best in the nation last year.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-4-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 0-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 2-7-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 0-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-0 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (178th in nation) | 38.0 (21st) | 38.6 (24th) | 26.8 (27th) | 19.1 (17th) | 10.7 (100th) |
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Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Penn State performed better against the spread on the road (6-4-0) than at home (8-9-0) last season.
- Nittany Lions games finished above the over/under 47.1% of the time at home (eight of 17) last season, and 40% of the time away (four of 10).
- In 2024-25 when moneyline underdogs, the Nittany Lions had a better winning percentage at home (.333, 1-2 record) than away (.200, 2-8).
Last season stats
- Last year the Nittany Lions averaged 79.1 points per game (54th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 73.2 points per contest (213th-ranked).
- Penn State averaged 30.7 boards per game (261st-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 30.4 rebounds per contest (129th-ranked).
- Last year the Nittany Lions ranked 39th in college basketball in assists, averaging 16.0 per game.
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 3-7-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 0-2-0)
- O-U-P: 5-5-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 (28th in nation) | 47.6 (335th) | 29.0 (331st) | 27.7 (47th) | 14.1 (204th) | 8.8 (11th) |
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