Michigan State vs. Rutgers betting: College basketball preview for March 5

Data Skrive

The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (24-5, 14-4 Big Ten) will try to extend a four-game win streak when they host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17, 5-13 Big Ten) on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center as big, 20.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The matchup’s over/under is 141.5.

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Michigan State Cover -20.5 vs Rutgers -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Michigan State vs. Rutgers betting lines

  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -3571
  • Rutgers moneyline odds to win: +1400
  • Spread: Michigan State (-20.5)
  • Total: 141.5

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, Michigan State owns a worse record against the spread (8-8-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (5-4-0).
  • The Spartans have hit the over on the over/under in six of 16 home games (37.5%). They’ve done better in away games, topping the total in five of nine matchups (55.6%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Michigan State has won a higher percentage of its games at home (1.000) compared to away games (.714).

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Spartans have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 78.0 points per contest over that span compared to the 78.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Michigan State allow 5.4 more points per game (71.7) than its season-long average (66.3).
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Spartans are making 0.4 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.1 compared to 7.7 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.2% compared to 35.6% season-long).

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 20.5+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 13-11-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-17-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-2 (Home: 14-0; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (78th in nation) 40.0 (18th) 37.4 (eighth) 25.5 (first) 18.3 (11th) 10.7 (159th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. Rutgers? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Rutgers statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Rutgers has a lower winning percentage at home (.438, 7-9-0 record) than away (.500, 5-5-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Scarlet Knights games have finished over less often at home (10 of 16, 62.5%) than away (seven of 10, 70%).
  • This year the Scarlet Knights are 2-6 at home when moneyline underdogs (.250 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-8 (.200).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Scarlet Knights are scoring 70.2 points per game, the same number of points as their season average.
  • While Rutgers is surrendering 75.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 77.9 points per contest.
  • The Scarlet Knights are sinking 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games (6.1) compared to their season average (6.4), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.0%) compared to their season mark (31.7%).

Rutgers betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 20.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-6-0; As Underdog: 12-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-11-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-16 (Home: 2-6; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.5 (336th in nation) 45.9 (272nd) 30.4 (266th) 32.5 (270th) 11.6 (333rd) 9.9 (65th)
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