Michigan State vs. Toledo betting: College basketball preview for Dec. 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (9-1) hit the court against the Toledo Rockets (5-5) as double-digit, 24.5-point favorites on Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. The point total for the matchup is 151.5.

Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!

Spread

Michigan State Cover -24.5 vs Toledo -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Michigan State vs. Toledo betting lines

  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -9091
  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: +2200
  • Spread: Michigan State (-24.5)
  • Total: 151.5

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • At home last season, Michigan State sported a worse record against the spread (10-6-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (7-2-0).
  • The Spartans went over the total in a lower percentage of home games (25%) than games on the road (33.3%) last season.
  • As a moneyline favorite last season, Michigan State won 15 of 16 games when playing at home, good for a .938 winning percentage. Michigan State won three of four games on the road (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Last season stats

  • Last year, the Spartans were 78th in the nation offensively (77.7 points scored per game) and 44th defensively (67.1 points allowed).
  • On the boards, Michigan State was 10th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.7 per game) last year. It was 28th in rebounds conceded (28.2 per game).
  • The Spartans were 24th-best in the country in assists (16.5 per game) last year.

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-5-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 24.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-7-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-0 (Home: 5-0; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (177th in nation) 38.6 (25th) 38.2 (27th) 26.7 (27th) 18.6 (26th) 11.2 (140th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. Toledo? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Toledo statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread last season, Toledo had better results away (9-6-0) than at home (3-8-1).
  • Looking at the over/under, Rockets games finished over five of 12 times at home (41.7%) and nine of 15 away (60%) last year.
  • The Rockets’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs was .667 (2-1) last season, and on the road it was .222 (2-7).

Last season stats

  • The Rockets were ranked 55th in college basketball offensively last year with 78.9 points per game, while defensively they were 13th-worst (80.2 points allowed per game).
  • Toledo was 253rd in the country with 30.8 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 195th with 31.4 rebounds allowed per game.
  • The Rockets put up 13.1 assists per game, which ranked them 214th in college basketball.

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 4-5-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 1-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.0 (79th in nation) 49.4 (355th) 30.9 (279th) 30.5 (153rd) 15.8 (110th) 11.2 (140th)
Author Profile
BetDecider Team

The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.

Ryan Knuppel

Knup Solutions [molongui_author_name]

About Ryan Knuppel

Ryan has been one of the leading sports business & iGaming professionals for over 15 years. He started as a freelance writer and now operates one of the top sports content agencies around, Knup Solutions. He has literally written 10,000 plus sports and betting related articles across the web.

 

Sports Network:

sports20.com, usawager.com, knupsports.com, baseballspotlight.com, basketballarticles.com, betdecider.com, njsportsbookreview.com, dunkelindex.com, sportspub.com, oddschoice.com

 

Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

How to Bet on NFL Games

Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …