The No. 12 Michigan State Spartans (12-2, 2-1 Big Ten) host the USC Trojans (12-2, 1-2 Big Ten) after winning three straight home games. The Spartans are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the contest, which starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 5, 2026. The matchup’s over/under is 150.5.
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Michigan State Cover -11.5 vs USC -115
Michigan State vs. USC betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -840
- USC moneyline odds to win: +571
- Spread: Michigan State (-11.5)
- Total: 150.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Michigan State had a worse record against the spread at home (10-6-0) than it did in away games (7-2-0) last season.
- The Spartans hit the over on the over/under in four of 16 home games (25%) last year. They did better in away games, eclipsing the total in three of nine matchups (33.3%).
- Michigan State won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last season, going 15-1 (.938). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it sported a record of 3-1 (.750).
Last season stats
- The Spartans put up 77.7 points per game and allowed 67.1 last season, ranking them 78th in the nation offensively and 44th defensively.
- Last season, Michigan State was 10th-best in college basketball in rebounds (36.7 per game) and 28th in rebounds conceded (28.2).
- With 16.5 assists per game, the Spartans were 24th-best in college basketball last season.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 5-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (144th in nation) | 38.8 (21st) | 39.9 (eighth) | 26.0 (ninth) | 19.5 (10th) | 11.9 (212th) |
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USC statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Last season, USC was 8-11-0 at home against the spread (.421 winning percentage). Away, it was 4-6-0 ATS (.400).
- Trojans games finished above the over/under 68.4% of the time at home (13 of 19) last season, and 80% of the time on the road (eight of 10).
- When moneyline underdogs last year, the Trojans won a lower percentage of games at home (1-4) than away (3-7).
Last season stats
- With 76.7 points per game on offense, the Trojans were 96th in the nation last year. On defense, they ceded 74.6 points per contest, which ranked 255th in college basketball.
- USC grabbed 29.2 boards per game (325th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 29.1 rebounds per contest (56th-ranked).
- The Trojans delivered 15.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 59th in the nation.
USC betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-7-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (58th in nation) | 41.3 (77th) | 34.6 (111th) | 30.6 (157th) | 16.4 (79th) | 12.6 (267th) |
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