The No. 7 Michigan State Spartans (18-2, 9-0 Big Ten) are favored (by 4 points) to continue a five-game road win streak when they visit the USC Trojans (12-8, 4-5 Big Ten) on Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 4:30 PM ET. The over/under in the matchup is set at 149.5.
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Michigan State Cover -4 vs USC -111
Michigan State vs. USC betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -197
- USC moneyline odds to win: +163
- Spread: Michigan State (-4)
- Total: 149.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread last season, Michigan State fared better when playing at home, covering 11 times in 18 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
- At home last year, the Spartans went over the total 38.9% of the time (seven of 18 games). They hit the over more often on the road, exceeding the total in 50% of games (five of 10).
- At home last season, Michigan State won more often as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 12-4 (.750). When playing on the road, it was 3-4 (.429) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Spartans have been scoring 80.2 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 81.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Michigan State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (66.1) is 1.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.2).
- While the Spartans are hitting the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings in comparison to their season-long average (5.6), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (30.8% from deep over the last 10, 28.9% on the season).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-7-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4+: 10-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-6-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 8-12-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-1 (Home: 11-0; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (56th in nation) | 39.8 (26th) | 37.5 (ninth) | 27.8 (27th) | 18.5 (seventh) | 11.4 (182nd) |
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USC statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, USC is 5-9-0 at home against the spread (.357 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-1-0 ATS (.750).
- In terms of the over/under, Trojans games have gone over less often at home (10 of 14, 71.4%) than away (three of four, 75%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Trojans have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than on the road (3-1).
Recent trends
- The Trojans have performed better offensively in their past 10 games, generating 80.8 points per contest, 3.8 more than their season average of 77.
- USC has fared worse defensively in its past 10 games, allowing 75 points per contest, 2.2 more points than its season average of 72.8.
- The Trojans are sinking 7.4 three-pointers per contest with a 38.1% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 6.6 and 34.8%.
USC betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-12-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4+: 2-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 14-5-1 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 3-0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 0-3; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (37th in nation) | 44.9 (264th) | 29.2 (327th) | 28.4 (47th) | 16 (50th) | 11.1 (156th) |

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