The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (23-5, 14-3 Big Ten) are favored (-4.5) to continue a four-game win streak when they host the No. 11 Wisconsin Badgers (22-6, 12-5 Big Ten) at 1:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 2, 2025 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center. The contest airs on CBS. The over/under in the matchup is set at 146.5.

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Michigan State vs. Wisconsin betting lines

• Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -195
• Wisconsin moneyline odds to win: +162
• Spread: Michigan State (-4.5)
• Total: 146.5

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Michigan State has done a better job covering the spread on the road (6-2-0) than it has in home games (8-6-0).
• When it comes to point totals, the Spartans hit the over more often at home, as they’ve exceeded the total four times in 14 opportunities this season (28.6%). In away games, they have hit the over two times in eight opportunities (25%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Michigan State has won 13 of 14 games when playing at home, good for a .929 winning percentage. It has won two of three games away from home (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• The Spartans have been putting up 71.9 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 78.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
• Michigan State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (65.1) is 1.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (66.8).
• The Spartans’ last 10 contests have seen them make 5.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 31% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 5.6 makes and 29.5%.

Michigan State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 18-10-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 11-6-0 (As Favorite: 13-8-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
• O-U-P: 9-19-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 2-6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 13-1; Away: 2-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-1)

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Wisconsin statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This season, Wisconsin is 8-8-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, it is 7-2-0 ATS (.778).
• Badgers games have gone above the over/under less often at home (eight times out of 16) than on the road (six of nine) this season.
• When moneyline underdogs, the Badgers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (2-4).

Recent trends

• The Badgers are putting up 80.9 points per game in their past 10 games, which is one fewer point than their average for the season (81.9).
• Wisconsin has performed worse defensively in its last 10 games, allowing 70.9 points per contest, 0.4 more points than its season average of 70.5.
• The Badgers are sinking 11.7 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 1.6 more than their average for the season (10.1). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (38.7%) compared to their season average from three-point land (36.2%).

Wisconsin betting records this season

• ATS Record: 18-10-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 7-2-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-8-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
• O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 6-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-2 (Home: 13-2; Away: 3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-4)