Michigan vs. Duke betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (25-1) bring an 11-game winning streak into a road matchup with the No. 3 Duke Blue Devils (24-2), who have won three straight. The Blue Devils are underdogs by just 2.5 points in the contest, which begins at 6:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN) on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The over/under in the matchup is set at 151.5.

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Spread

Michigan Cover -2.5 vs Duke -120

Bet $20, Payout $36.67

Michigan vs. Duke betting lines

  • Michigan moneyline odds to win: -178
  • Duke moneyline odds to win: +146
  • Spread: Michigan (-2.5)
  • Total: 151.5

Michigan statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Wolverines’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 85.5 points a contest compared to the 90.6 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Michigan’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has given up 68.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 68.8 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Wolverines’ 9.1 made three-pointers per-game average over their past 10 games are less than the 9.4 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 37.8% compared to their season-long percentage of 36.1% from beyond the arc.

Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 13-12-0 (As Favorite: 13-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-15-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-1 (Home: 12-1; Away: 9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
51.4 (sixth in nation) 37.1 (second) 38.2 (fifth) 27.3 (17th) 19.5 (fourth) 11.9 (262nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan vs. Duke? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Duke statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their previous 10 games, the Blue Devils are averaging 76.9 points per game, 6.1 fewer points than their season average (83).
  • Over its previous 10 games, Duke is giving up 57.7 points per game, compared to its season average of 63.2 points allowed.
  • The Blue Devils are draining 7.4 treys per game in their last 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.9). In addition, they own a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (34.9%).

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 6-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-19-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 2-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-2 (Home: 11-0; Away: 7-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
50.1 (17th in nation) 39.2 (ninth) 36.8 (23rd) 26.5 (seventh) 16.8 (40th) 10.5 (121st)
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Betting Guide

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