The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (27-2, 17-1 Big Ten) hit the road in Big Ten action against the Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9, 10-8 Big Ten) on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The Wolverines are favored by 8.5 points in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 147.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Michigan Cover -8.5 vs Iowa -109
Michigan vs. Iowa betting lines
- Michigan moneyline odds to win: -427
- Iowa moneyline odds to win: +321
- Spread: Michigan (-8.5)
- Total: 147.5
Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Michigan has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered eight times in 14 opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in 10 opportunities on the road.
- The Wolverines have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (35.7%) than road tilts (40%).
- Michigan has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 13-1 (.929). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 10-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Wolverines have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 83.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 5.2 points fewer than the 89 they’ve scored this year.
- Michigan’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.9) is 0.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.7).
- Over their last 10 contests, the Wolverines are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.5 compared to 9.4 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38% compared to 36% season-long).
Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 9-12-0 (As Favorite: 14-14-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 26-2 (Home: 13-1; Away: 10-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 (eighth in nation) | 37.8 (second) | 37.4 (eighth) | 27.1 (14th) | 19.2 (fourth) | 11.8 (268th) |
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Iowa statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This year, Iowa is 9-7-0 at home against the spread (.562 winning percentage). Away, it is 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Hawkeyes’ games have finished above the over/under at home (62.5%, 10 of 16) compared to away (60%, six of 10).
- The Hawkeyes, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than on the road (1-4) this year.
Recent trends
- The Hawkeyes have played worse offensively over their last 10 games, generating 71.5 points per contest, 4.2 fewer points their than season average of 75.7.
- Iowa is surrendering 70.1 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 5.1 more points than it is allowing for the season (65).
- In their previous 10 games, the Hawkeyes are making 7.2 three-pointers per game, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (7.8). They also have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.7%) compared to their season average (35.3%).
Iowa betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 14-8-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
- O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-3 (Home: 14-0; Away: 2-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-6 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5 (20th in nation) | 45.5 (260th) | 27.1 (354th) | 25.9 (third) | 15.1 (103rd) | 8.8 (11th) |
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