The Northwestern Wildcats (10-14, 2-11 Big Ten) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (22-1, 12-1 Big Ten) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at Welsh-Ryan Arena as heavy, 15.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network. The matchup’s over/under is set at 154.5.
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Michigan Cover -15.5 vs Northwestern -113
Michigan vs. Northwestern betting lines
- Michigan moneyline odds to win: -1887
- Northwestern moneyline odds to win: +956
- Spread: Michigan (-15.5)
- Total: 154.5
Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Michigan has done a better job covering the spread at home (7-5-0) than it has in road tilts (2-5-0).
- The Wolverines have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (41.7%) than away games (28.6%).
- Michigan has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-1 (.917). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 7-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Wolverines have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 83.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 7.5 points fewer than the 91 they’ve scored this season.
- The past 10 games have seen Michigan concede 2.7 more points per game (71.3) than its season-long average (68.6).
- Over their last 10 outings, the Wolverines are making one fewer three-pointer per game than their season long average (8.4 compared to 9.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (34.3% compared to 35.8% season-long).
Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-11-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 15.5+: 7-7-0 (As Favorite: 11-11-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 9-14-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-1 (Home: 11-1; Away: 7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.3 (sixth in nation) | 36.9 (second) | 38.7 (fourth) | 27.6 (24th) | 19.3 (fifth) | 12 (267th) |
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Northwestern statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Northwestern has had better results away (4-4-0) than at home (4-8-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Wildcats games have finished over five of 12 times at home (41.7%), and four of eight on the road (50%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (1-5).
Recent trends
- While the Wildcats are posting 75 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, producing 67.5 points per contest.
- In its past 10 games, Northwestern is giving up 75.7 points per game, 3.1 more points than its season average (72.6).
- Over their previous 10 games, the Wildcats are draining 6.5 treys per game, 0.2 more than their season average (6.3). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.3%) compared to their season average (31.8%).
Northwestern betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 15.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-10-0; As Underdog: 5-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (138th in nation) | 43.3 (135th) | 29 (324th) | 32.3 (247th) | 17.4 (31st) | 8 (second) |
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