Michigan vs. UConn betting: March Madness Championship preview for April 6

Data Skrive

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (36-3) bring a five-game win streak into a home matchup with the No. 7 UConn Huskies (34-5), winners of five straight as well. The Wolverines are favorites (-6.5) in the contest, which tips at 8:50 p.m. ET (on TBS) on Monday, April 6, 2026. The matchup has a point total of 146.5.

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Spread

Michigan Cover -6.5 vs UConn -118

Bet $20, Payout $36.95

Michigan vs. UConn betting lines

  • Michigan moneyline odds to win: -328
  • UConn moneyline odds to win: +252
  • Spread: Michigan (-6.5)
  • Total: 146.5

Michigan statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Wolverines have been racking up 84.4 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 87.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Michigan has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 72.4 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 69.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
  • The Wolverines’ 9.3 made three-pointers per-game average in their past 10 games are less than the 9.4 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 40.8% compared to their season-long percentage of 37.1% from beyond the arc.

Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 20-19-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 13-17-0 (As Favorite: 18-19-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-22-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 34-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 11-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
51 (fourth in nation) 38.4 (second) 36.9 (13th) 27.5 (15th) 18.9 (fourth) 11.5 (242nd)

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UConn statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Huskies have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, putting up 71.1 points per contest, 5.8 fewer points their than season average of 76.9.
  • Over its past 10 games, UConn is allowing 65.1 points per game, the same number of points it is allowing per game this season.
  • The Huskies are sinking 0.9 fewer threes per contest over their past 10 games (7.4) compared to their season average (8.3), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (30%) compared to their season mark (34.6%).

UConn betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-23-0 (Home: 4-13-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-20-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 29-5 (Home: 12-2; Away: 9-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.7 (39th in nation) 40.3 (19th) 33 (115th) 27.9 (24th) 18.3 (10th) 10 (84th)
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