Michigan vs. USC betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 2

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (12-0, 2-0 Big Ten) bring a 12-game win streak into a home matchup with the No. 24 USC Trojans (12-1, 1-1 Big Ten), winners of four straight. The Wolverines are huge favorites (-22.5) in the contest, which starts at 7 p.m. ET (on Peacock) on Friday, January 2, 2026. The point total for the matchup is 173.5.

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Michigan Cover -22.5 vs USC -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Michigan vs. USC betting lines

  • Michigan moneyline odds to win: -5000
  • USC moneyline odds to win: +1638
  • Spread: Michigan (-22.5)
  • Total: 173.5

Michigan statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Michigan covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games last season. Michigan covered six times in 16 games when playing at home, and it covered five times in 10 games when playing on the road.
  • The Wolverines eclipsed the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (56.2%) than road tilts (50%) last year.
  • As a moneyline favorite last year, Michigan won 13 of 16 games at home, good for a .812 winning percentage. Michigan won four of five games on the road (.800) as a moneyline favorite.

Last season stats

  • The Wolverines scored 78 points per game and gave up 71.5 last season, ranking them 75th in college basketball offensively and 160th defensively.
  • With 35 rebounds per game and 30.2 rebounds conceded, Michigan was 34th and 114th in college basketball, respectively, last season.
  • The Wolverines were 46th in the nation in assists (15.8 per game) last year.

Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-4-0 (Home: 5-1-0; Away: 0-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 22.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-6-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 1-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
53.6 (second in nation) 34.6 (first) 42.4 (second) 28.6 (69th) 21.6 (third) 12.3 (237th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan vs. USC? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

USC statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, USC performed better at home (8-11-0) than on the road (4-6-0) last season.
  • In terms of the over/under, Trojans games finished over less frequently at home (13 of 19, 68.4%) than away (eight of 10, 80%) last year.
  • The Trojans, as moneyline underdogs, won a lower percentage of games at home (1-4) than on the road (3-7) last year.

Last season stats

  • Offensively, the Trojans scored 76.7 points per game (96th-ranked in college basketball) last season. They ceded 74.6 points per contest at the other end (255th-ranked).
  • USC averaged 29.2 rebounds per game (325th-ranked in college basketball). It ceded 29.1 rebounds per contest (56th-ranked).
  • Last year the Trojans ranked 59th in college basketball in assists, delivering 15.5 per game.

USC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-6-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 1-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-5-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 2-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.5 (39th in nation) 40.7 (69th) 35 (100th) 30 (130th) 17.4 (55th) 11.9 (209th)
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