The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (14-14, 8-9 CUSA) host the New Mexico State Aggies (13-14, 6-11 CUSA) in a matchup of CUSA teams at Murphy Center, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Blue Raiders are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The point total is 146.5 in the matchup.
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Middle Tennessee Cover -5.5 vs New Mexico State -112
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State betting lines
- Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -258
- New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +207
- Spread: Middle Tennessee (-5.5)
- Total: 146.5
Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- At home, Middle Tennessee sports a worse record against the spread (4-7-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (6-5-0).
- The Blue Raiders have hit the over on the over/under in six of 11 home games (54.5%), compared to five of 11 road games (45.5%).
- Middle Tennessee has fared better as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 6-2, compared to going 0-4 on the road.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Blue Raiders have been racking up 75.0 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Middle Tennessee has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 77.8 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.6 it has surrendered this year.
- The Blue Raiders are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.2 threes per game and shooting 30.0% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.3 makes and 33.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Middle Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-14-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 8-5-0)
- O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-6 (Home: 6-2; Away: 0-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (229th in nation) | 44.1 (178th) | 32.8 (130th) | 31.1 (191st) | 14.4 (141st) | 10.2 (101st) |
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New Mexico State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, New Mexico State is 5-5-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-6-0 ATS (.400).
- Aggies games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (six times out of 10) than on the road (eight of 10) this year.
- The Aggies, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than on the road (2-5) this year.
Recent trends
- The Aggies are posting 72.1 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 3.2 fewer points than their average for the season (75.3).
- While New Mexico State is ceding 71.6 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 77.1 points per contest.
- The Aggies are sinking 0.3 fewer threes per game in their past 10 games (7.6) compared to their season average (7.9), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.8%) compared to their season mark (33.3%).
New Mexico State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 16-8-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 8-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-7 (Home: 4-4; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.3 (292nd in nation) | 41.1 (35th) | 34.3 (68th) | 30.5 (151st) | 13.6 (199th) | 10.1 (92nd) |
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