Minnesota vs. Northwestern betting: College basketball preview for March 7

Data Skrive

Big Ten foes square off when the Minnesota Golden Gophers (14-16, 7-12 Big Ten) host the Northwestern Wildcats (13-17, 5-14 Big Ten) at Williams Arena, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The Wildcats are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 131.5.

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Minnesota Cover -3.5 vs Northwestern -115

Bet $20, Payout $37.39

Minnesota vs. Northwestern betting lines

  • Minnesota moneyline odds to win: -180
  • Northwestern moneyline odds to win: +149
  • Spread: Minnesota (-3.5)
  • Total: 131.5

Minnesota statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Minnesota has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered nine times in 16 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered five times in 11 opportunities on the road.
  • The Golden Gophers have gone over the total more often at home, hitting the over in six of 16 home matchups (37.5%). In away games, they have hit the over in four of 11 games (36.4%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Minnesota has won eight of 10 games when playing at home, good for a .800 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game on the road (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Golden Gophers have been putting up 66.6 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 70.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • The last 10 games have seen Minnesota give up 68.5 points per game, the same as its season-long average.
  • The Golden Gophers are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 10.2 threes per game and shooting 37.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.7 makes and 34.5% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Minnesota betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 9-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-18-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-4 (Home: 8-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-12 (Home: 4-2; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (159th in nation) 44.6 (205th) 28.4 (334th) 29.0 (63rd) 17.2 (24th) 9.8 (59th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Minnesota vs. Northwestern? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Northwestern statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Northwestern’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .375 (6-10-0). Away, it is .500 (5-5-0).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Wildcats’ games have finished above the over/under at home (43.8%, seven of 16) compared to away (40%, four of 10).
  • The Wildcats, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than on the road (2-6) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Wildcats have fared worse offensively over their past 10 games, posting 67.3 points per contest, 6.1 fewer points their than season average of 73.4.
  • Northwestern is giving up 73.8 points per game over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.4 points allowed.
  • The Wildcats are sinking 6.7 threes per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.4 more than their average for the season (6.3). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (36.0%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (32.5%).

Northwestern betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-18-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 8-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-12-0; As Underdog: 8-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 9-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-12 (Home: 0-4; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.8 (148th in nation) 43.6 (137th) 27.6 (346th) 31.9 (239th) 17.0 (31st) 8.3 (third)
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