The Miami Heat (19-15) are underdogs (+2.5) as they attempt to extend a four-game winning streak when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs on FDSSUN, FDSN, NBA TV, and WPLG. The matchup’s over/under is 239.
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Timberwolves Cover -2.5 vs Heat -112
Timberwolves vs. Heat betting lines
- Timberwolves odds to win: -145
- Heat odds to win: +122
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
- Total: 239
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Minnesota has a 6-10 record against the spread on the road and are 9-7 in road contests.
- This season, Minnesota is 4-7 ATS on the road as 2.5-point favorites or more.
- The Timberwolves have hit the over in nine of their 16 road games this year with a set over/under (56.2%).
- This season on the road, Minnesota and its opponents have averaged a total of 232.4 points per contest, 6.6 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves are 6-4 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- The final score of the past 10 Timberwolves games has exceeded the set total three times.
- The Timberwolves’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 232.7 points scored. That’s 6.3 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Timberwolves have scored 2.1 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Timberwolves Betting Records
- The Timberwolves have compiled a 19-8 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 70.4% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 19-7 (73.1% win percentage).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 59.2%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (ninth in NBA) | 45.8 (fifth) | 44.2 (17th) | 43.9 (15th) | 26.5 (12th) | 13.5 (seventh) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Heat have hit the over on a set point total in a home game eight times this season.
- The Heat are 12-5 in home contests with a 10-7 record against the spread at home.
- This year, the Heat are 5-7 ATS at home when playing as 2.5-point underdogs or more.
- This season at home the Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 238.2 points per contest, 0.8 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 overall and 6-4 against the spread in their past 10 games.
- Heat’s past 10 contests saw four go over the total.
- The Heat’s last 10 outings have ended with an average of 235.9 points scored. That’s 3.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Heat have a 117.5 points-per-game average, 3.4 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- This season, Miami has been the underdog 19 times and won 10, or 52.6%, of those games.
- The Heat are 7-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +122 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Heat based on the moneyline is 45.0%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (13th in NBA) | 45.6 (fourth) | 45.9 (fifth) | 47.1 (27th) | 28.7 (seventh) | 13.5 (seventh) |
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