The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) visit the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3 SEC) after winning five road games in a row. The Bulldogs are favored by just 1.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2025. The point total for the matchup is set at 165.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Mississippi State Cover -1.5 vs Alabama -109
Mississippi State vs. Alabama betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -127
- Alabama moneyline odds to win: +105
- Spread: Mississippi State (-1.5)
- Total: 165
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered four times in nine games at home, and it has covered three times in six games on the road.
- The Bulldogs have gone over the total in six of nine home games (66.7%), compared to two of six road games (33.3%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Mississippi State has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.889) compared to road games (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 77.1 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.6 points fewer than the 80.7 they’ve scored this season.
- Mississippi State has been more porous on defense as of late, allowing 70.4 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 69.5 points per game its opponents average on the 2024-25 season.
- The Bulldogs’ past 10 outings have seen them make 8.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 30.5% from deep. Both numbers are down compared to their 2024-25 averages of 8.6 makes and 32.1%.
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 9-9-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 0-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (130th in nation) | 42.0 (102nd) | 36.3 (27th) | 32.0 (226th) | 15.8 (66th) | 10.0 (50th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Mississippi State vs. Alabama? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Alabama statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Alabama’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (5-5-0). Away, it is .667 (4-2-0).
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Crimson Tide’s games have finished above the over/under at home (40%, four of 10) compared to on the road (66.7%, four of six).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Crimson Tide are posting 92.1 points per contest, 1.7 more than their season average (90.4).
- Alabama is ceding 79.2 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 0.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (78.5).
- The Crimson Tide are sinking 10.2 three-pointers per game with a 33.1% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 9.9 and 32.5%.
Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 3-0-0)
- O-U-P: 11-9-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (62nd in nation) | 40.9 (55th) | 40.6 (third) | 33.0 (281st) | 17.0 (24th) | 12.1 (257th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
