Mississippi State vs. Alabama State betting: College basketball preview for Dec. 29

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Alabama State Hornets (3-9) are heavy underdogs (+17.5) as they attempt to stop a six-game losing streak when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-5) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 29, 2025 at Humphrey Coliseum. The matchup airs on SEC Network+. The matchup’s point total is set at 154.5.

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Mississippi State Cover -17.5 vs Alabama State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Mississippi State vs. Alabama State betting lines

  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -2778
  • Alabama State moneyline odds to win: +1188
  • Spread: Mississippi State (-17.5)
  • Total: 154.5

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread last year, Mississippi State performed worse at home, covering six times in 15 home games, and six times in 11 road games.
  • The Bulldogs exceeded the total less often at home last season, hitting the over in nine of 15 home matchups (60%). In away games, they hit the over in seven of 11 games (63.6%).
  • As a moneyline favorite last year, Mississippi State won a lower percentage of its games at home (.667) compared to away games (.800).

Last season stats

  • Offensively, the Bulldogs were the 47th-ranked team in college basketball (79.5 points per game) last year. Defensively, they were 245th (74.2 points conceded per game).
  • At 35.2 rebounds per game and 32.8 rebounds conceded, Mississippi State was 28th and 283rd in the country, respectively, last season.
  • Last season the Bulldogs were ranked 69th in college basketball in assists with 15.2 per game.

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 3-9-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 17.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-5-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-4 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.0 (216th in nation) 42.1 (114th) 37.1 (43rd) 36.3 (352nd) 12.8 (291st) 11.6 (187th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Mississippi State vs. Alabama State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Alabama State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread last year, Alabama State had better results away (7-8-0) than at home (4-6-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Hornets games finished over five of 10 times at home (50%) last season, and three of 15 away (20%).
  • Last season the Hornets were 1-0 at home when moneyline underdogs (1.000 winning percentage). On the road they were 2-8 (.200).

Last season stats

  • Last season the Hornets averaged 73.1 points per game (199th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 72.4 points per contest (193rd-ranked).
  • Alabama State, who ranked 162nd in college basketball with 32.3 rebounds per game, allowed 35.7 rebounds per contest, which was sixth-worst in the nation.
  • The Hornets put up 11.6 dimes per game, which ranked them 316th in the country.

Alabama State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-6-0 (Home: 0-0-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 17.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 0-0-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 5-6-0 (Home: 0-0-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.8 (298th in nation) 47.5 (325th) 32.3 (228th) 33.1 (286th) 13.9 (217th) 12.3 (239th)
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