The ninth-seeded Baylor Bears (19-14) will try to pull off a first-round NCAA Tournament upset against the No. 8 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) on Friday at Lenovo Center. The contest starts at 12:15 p.m. ET on CBS. Baylor is a 1.5-point underdog in the game. Here’s what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 8-9 matchup in the East Region. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5.
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Mississippi State Cover -1.5 vs Baylor -112
Mississippi State vs. Baylor betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -126
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: +105
- Spread: Mississippi State (-1.5)
- Total: 144.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have averaged 79.8 points per game over their last 10 contests, the same amount they’ve put up on average this season.
- Mississippi State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 80.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 74.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- While the Bulldogs are making more threes per game over their past 10 outings (8.5 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (8.4), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (30.1% from deep over the last 10, 31.4% on the season).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-18-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 12-14-0 (As Favorite: 12-14-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
- O-U-P: 20-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 7-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-7 (Home: 10-5; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (155th in nation) | 43.9 (188th) | 35.5 (25th) | 32.8 (284th) | 15.3 (67th) | 10.2 (88th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Mississippi State vs. Baylor? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Baylor statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Bears are scoring 68.4 points per contest, 8.1 fewer points than their season average (76.5).
- In its last 10 games, Baylor is surrendering 68.2 points per game, 1.0 fewer point than its season average (69.2).
- The Bears are sinking 1.2 fewer treys per game over their previous 10 games (7.3) compared to their season average (8.5), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (32.2%) compared to their season mark (35.1%).
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-19-1 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 1-9-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-9-0 (As Favorite: 10-10-1; As Underdog: 2-9-0)
- O-U-P: 17-15-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-11 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 (168th in nation) | 43.4 (152nd) | 33.1 (114th) | 30.1 (105th) | 14.6 (100th) | 10.3 (99th) |
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