The No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 SEC) are 5.5-point favorites as they look to build on an eight-game win streak when they host the No. 6 Kentucky Wildcats (12-3, 1-1 SEC) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Humphrey Coliseum. The game airs at 8:30 PM ET on SEC Network. The matchup’s over/under is 161.

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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky betting lines

• Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -222
• Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +181
• Spread: Mississippi State (-5.5)
• Total: 161

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Mississippi State covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games last season. Mississippi State covered six times in 15 opportunities at home, and it covered two times in 10 opportunities in road games.
• The Bulldogs went over the over/under more consistently when playing at home last year, hitting the over in eight of 15 home matchups (53.3%). On the road, they hit the over in five of 10 games (50%).
• Mississippi State played better as a moneyline favorite at home last season, putting up a home record of 8-4 home record, compared to going 2-2 on the road.

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have been racking up 81.4 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
• Mississippi State’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 66.1 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 66.5 points per game its opponents average this season.
• The Bulldogs’ 8.5 made three-pointers per-game average during their last 10 games are less than the 8.7 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 34.6% compared to their season-long percentage of 34.2% from beyond the arc.

Mississippi State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-6-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 3-0-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 0-0-0)
• O-U-P: 7-8-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 1-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)

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Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Kentucky was better against the spread away (6-3-1) than at home (8-10-0) last year.
• Looking at the over/under, Wildcats games finished over 15 of 18 times at home (83.3%) last season, and five of 10 away (50%).

Recent trends

• The Wildcats have performed worse offensively over their last 10 games, averaging 84.7 points per contest, 4.1 fewer points their than season average of 88.8.
• Kentucky has played worse defensively over its past 10 games, giving up 77.6 points per contest, 3.7 more points than its season average of 73.9.
• The Wildcats are draining 1.4 fewer threes per game in their past 10 games (8.4) compared to their season average (9.8), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (31.9%) compared to their season mark (35.7%).

Kentucky betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 0-2-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
• O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 0-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 10-0; Away: 0-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)