The No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-9, 7-8 SEC) host the LSU Tigers (14-14, 3-12 SEC) in a matchup of SEC teams at Humphrey Coliseum, tipping off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The Tigers are 11.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total in the matchup is set at 149.5.
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Mississippi State Cover -11.5 vs LSU -116
Mississippi State vs. LSU betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -820
- LSU moneyline odds to win: +559
- Spread: Mississippi State (-11.5)
- Total: 149.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- At home, Mississippi State has a worse record against the spread (5-8-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (5-5-0).
- In home games, the Bulldogs eclipse the over/under 53.8% of the time (seven of 13 games). They hit the over more often on the road, going over the total in 60% of games (six of 10).
- Mississippi State has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-4 (.692). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 4-1 (.800).
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 72.1 points per game in their last 10 contests, 6.9 points fewer than the 79 they’ve scored this season.
- Mississippi State’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has given up 78.9 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 73.3 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Bulldogs are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.7 threes per game and shooting 28.5% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 31.2% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 10-13-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 9-4; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (165th in nation) | 43.5 (155th) | 35.9 (24th) | 32.4 (262nd) | 15.4 (68th) | 10.4 (99th) |
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LSU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, LSU is 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-4-1 ATS (.375).
- Looking at the over/under, Tigers games have finished over more frequently at home (10 of 17, 58.8%) than away (two of eight, 25%).
- The Tigers’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .143 (1-6), and away it is .250 (2-6).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Tigers are scoring 68.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 75.6.
- LSU is surrendering 76.9 points per contest over its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.2 points allowed.
- The Tigers are draining 0.2 fewer treys per contest in their past 10 games (7.8) compared to their season average (8), and they are putting up a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (30.8%) compared to their season mark (31.4%).
LSU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-14-1 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 3-4-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 6-10-1)
- O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 2-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 10-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 1-6; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3 (150th in nation) | 41.4 (57th) | 33.1 (116th) | 33.9 (325th) | 13.3 (211th) | 12.3 (281st) |
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