The Oklahoma Sooners (16-10, 3-10 SEC) are 4.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a five-game losing streak when they host the No. 21 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-7, 7-6 SEC) on Saturday, February 22, 2025 at Lloyd Noble Center. The contest airs at 1:00 PM ET on SEC Network. The point total is set at 149.5 for the matchup.

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Mississippi State vs. Oklahoma betting lines

• Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -191
• Oklahoma moneyline odds to win: +157
• Spread: Mississippi State (-4.5)
• Total: 149.5

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Mississippi State has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-8-0) than it does on the road (5-3-0).
• The Bulldogs have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (53.8%) than away games (50%).
• Mississippi State has played worse as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 9-4, compared to going 4-0 away from home.

Recent trends

• On offense, the Bulldogs have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 71.1 points per contest over that span compared to the 79 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
• Mississippi State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (75.4) is 4.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71).
• The Bulldogs are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.3 threes per game and shooting 28.1% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 31.6% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Mississippi State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 5-3-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 6-10-0 (As Favorite: 10-12-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
• O-U-P: 13-13-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-5 (Home: 9-4; Away: 4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)

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Oklahoma statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Oklahoma’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .357 (5-9-0). Away, it is .286 (2-5-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Sooners games have finished over nine of 14 times at home (64.3%), and two of seven away (28.6%).
• When moneyline underdogs, the Sooners have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (1-6).

Recent trends

• The Sooners have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, tallying 70.7 points per contest, 6.5 fewer points their than season average of 77.2.
• In its previous 10 games, Oklahoma is ceding 76 points per contest, three more points than its season average (73).
• Over their previous 10 games, the Sooners are making 6.9 threes per game, 1.5 fewer threes than their season average (8.4). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (34.2%) compared to their season average (35.9%).

Oklahoma betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-15-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 2-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
• O-U-P: 14-12-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 2-5-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 10-3; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-6)