Missouri State vs. New Mexico State betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New Mexico State Aggies (8-4, 1-1 CUSA) visit the Missouri State Bears (8-5, 2-0 CUSA) after losing four road games in a row. The Bears are favored by only 1.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 4, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 133.5 points.

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Missouri State Cover -1.5 vs New Mexico State -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Missouri State vs. New Mexico State betting lines

  • Missouri State moneyline odds to win: -121
  • New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +101
  • Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)
  • Total: 133.5

Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Missouri State has done a better job covering the spread in home games (3-3-0) than it has in road games (1-3-0).
  • In terms of point totals, the Bears hit the over more consistently in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total two times in six opportunities this season (33.3%). In away games, they have hit the over one time in four opportunities (25%).

Last season stats

  • With 68.0 points scored per game and 70.9 points allowed last season, the Bears were 318th in college basketball offensively and 143rd defensively.
  • Missouri State was 318th in college basketball in rebounds per game (29.5) and 13th-best in rebounds allowed (27.5) last year.
  • Last season the Bears were ranked 279th in college basketball in assists with 12.2 per game.

Missouri State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 4-6-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 1-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-3-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-7-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 1-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.0 (213th in nation) 42.4 (121st) 32.2 (230th) 30.9 (172nd) 13.8 (221st) 10.3 (77th)

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New Mexico State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • New Mexico State’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .333 (4-8-0) last season. Away, it was .643 (9-5-0).
  • In 2024-25, a lower percentage of the Aggies’ games finished above the over/under at home (16.7%, two of 12) compared to on the road (35.7%, five of 14).
  • The Aggies’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs was .500 last year, both at home (1-1) and away (6-6).

Last season stats

  • With 69.7 points per game on offense, the Aggies ranked 290th in the country last season. At the other end, they surrendered 65.9 points per contest, which ranked 31st in college basketball.
  • Last year New Mexico State grabbed 35.1 rebounds per game (32nd-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 31.3 rebounds per contest (187th-ranked).
  • Last year the Aggies ranked 311th in college basketball in assists, averaging 11.7 per game.

New Mexico State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-4-0 (Home: 3-0-0; Away: 0-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-2-0 (Home: 3-0-0; Away: 2-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.7 (231st in nation) 38.5 (16th) 34.5 (117th) 29.3 (97th) 14.3 (186th) 11.3 (159th)
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