The No. 15 Missouri Tigers (21-9, 10-7 SEC) are 6.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the No. 19 Kentucky Wildcats (20-10, 9-8 SEC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Mizzou Arena. The matchup airs at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under set at 170.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Missouri Cover -6.5 vs Kentucky -110
Missouri vs. Kentucky betting lines
- Missouri moneyline odds to win: -265
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +215
- Spread: Missouri (-6.5)
- Total: 170.5
Missouri statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Missouri owns a better record against the spread at home (12-7-0) than it does in away games (5-5-0).
- At home, the Tigers eclipse the over/under 47.4% of the time (nine of 19 games). They hit the over more often in road games, going over the total in 70% of games (seven of 10).
- As a moneyline favorite, Missouri has won 16 of 17 games at home, good for a .941 winning percentage. It has won one of four games away from home (.250) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Tigers have picked up their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 87.5 points per contest over that span compared to the 84.6 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Missouri has been suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 79.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 72.6 it has surrendered this season.
- During their last 10 contests, the Tigers are making 0.5 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.5 compared to 9 season-long), while shooting the same percentage from deep in that span as their season-long average (37.3%).
Missouri betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-12-0 (Home: 12-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 7-6-0 (As Favorite: 12-10-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
- O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 9-10-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-4 (Home: 16-1; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (15th in nation) | 43.9 (186th) | 31.1 (233rd) | 29.6 (84th) | 13.9 (155th) | 10.4 (105th) |
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Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Kentucky’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .556 (10-8-0). Away, it is .333 (3-6-0).
- Wildcats games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (11 times out of 18) than on the road (five of nine) this season.
- When moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than on the road (2-3).
Recent trends
- While the Wildcats are putting up 85.6 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 81.7 points per contest.
- While Kentucky is surrendering 76.8 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 78.7 points per contest.
- The Wildcats are sinking 0.9 fewer treys per contest in their previous 10 games (8.9) compared to their season average (9.8), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (37.1%) compared to their season mark (37.3%).
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-12-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-6 (Home: 14-2; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-4 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.5 (24th in nation) | 43.3 (142nd) | 34.8 (46th) | 31.6 (214th) | 17.1 (14th) | 10.4 (105th) |
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