The Missouri Tigers (14-7, 4-4 SEC) are at home in SEC play against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-10, 3-5 SEC) on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET. The Tigers are favored by 6.5 points in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 148.5.
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Missouri Cover -6.5 vs Mississippi State -110
Missouri vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Missouri moneyline odds to win: -291
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +235
- Spread: Missouri (-6.5)
- Total: 148.5
Missouri statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Missouri sports a better record against the spread at home (6-7-0) than it does in road games (2-4-0).
- Looking at over/unders, the Tigers hit the over more consistently in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total six times in 13 opportunities this season (46.2%). In road games, they have hit the over two times in six opportunities (33.3%).
- Missouri has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 10-1 (.909). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-1 (.500).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 72.6 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 80.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Missouri’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (77.2) is 3.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.8).
- During their past 10 outings, the Tigers are making 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.6 compared to 7.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (31.7% compared to 34.8% season-long).
Missouri betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
- O-U-P: 8-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-2 (Home: 10-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 2-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 (23rd in nation) | 41.8 (74th) | 33.1 (141st) | 28.4 (49th) | 14.6 (143rd) | 12.0 (258th) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Mississippi State has a lower winning percentage at home (.273, 3-8-0 record) than away (.600, 3-2-0).
- Bulldogs games have gone above the over/under 27.3% of the time at home (three of 11), and 60% of the time on the road (three of five).
- The Bulldogs’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-2), and away it is .500 (2-2).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Bulldogs are averaging 75.9 points per contest, compared to their season average of 77.8.
- In its past 10 games, Mississippi State is allowing 77.2 points per contest, compared to its season average of 77.9 points allowed.
- The Bulldogs are making 6.6 treys per contest over their last 10 games, which is 1.0 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.6). In addition, they have a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (27.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (30.5%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-14-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
- O-U-P: 10-11-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (243rd in nation) | 42.6 (110th) | 37.5 (20th) | 34.7 (335th) | 12.4 (299th) | 11.2 (171st) |
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