Missouri vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

SEC foes meet when the Missouri Tigers (19-9, 9-6 SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-15, 5-10 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, starting at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Bulldogs are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total for the matchup is 155.5.

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Spread

Missouri Cover -1.5 vs Mississippi State -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Missouri vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Missouri moneyline odds to win: -127
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +104
  • Spread: Missouri (-1.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Missouri statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In home games, Missouri owns a worse record against the spread (8-9-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (5-4-0).
  • The Tigers have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (52.9%) than away games (44.4%).
  • Missouri has performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 11-2, compared to going 2-1 away from home.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Tigers have been racking up 78.0 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 80.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Missouri’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 80.2 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 75.0 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Tigers’ past 10 contests have seen them make 6.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.3% from deep. Both numbers are down compared to their 2025-26 averages of 7.3 makes and 35.0%.

Missouri betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 6-10-0 (As Favorite: 6-10-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-6 (Home: 4-0; Away: 2-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.2 (26th in nation) 42.5 (84th) 32.4 (155th) 29.0 (63rd) 14.6 (128th) 11.5 (229th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Missouri vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Mississippi State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .286 (4-10-0). Away, it is .556 (5-4-0).
  • Bulldogs games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of 14) than on the road (six of nine) this year.
  • The Bulldogs’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .200 (1-4), and away it is .375 (3-5).

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs have played worse offensively over their previous 10 games, posting 76.0 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points their than season average of 78.2.
  • While Mississippi State is giving up 80.0 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 84.7 points per contest.
  • The Bulldogs are sinking 9.4 three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 1.1 more than their average for the season (8.3). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (35.7%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (32.5%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-18-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 5-9-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 5-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 6-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 1-4; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (217th in nation) 43.4 (126th) 36.3 (26th) 35.1 (348th) 12.9 (255th) 10.8 (165th)
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