Montana vs. Montana State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 14

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

Big Sky foes meet when the Montana Grizzlies (14-11, 8-4 Big Sky) host the Montana State Bobcats (14-11, 8-4 Big Sky) at Dahlberg Arena, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026. The Bobcats are 2.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 144.5 points.

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Spread

Montana Cover -2.5 vs Montana State -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Montana vs. Montana State betting lines

  • Montana moneyline odds to win: -138
  • Montana State moneyline odds to win: +115
  • Spread: Montana (-2.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Montana statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Montana has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-4-0) than it has in road affairs (6-5-0).
  • At home, the Grizzlies eclipse the total 50% of the time (five of 10 games). They’ve hit the over in 45.5% of games on the road (five of 11 contests).
  • Montana has played worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 5-4, compared to going 2-1 in away games.

Recent trends

  • The Grizzlies have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 74.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.8 points fewer than the 78.7 they’ve scored this year.
  • The last 10 games have seen Montana concede 2.2 fewer points per game (70.8) than its season-long average (73.0).
  • While the Grizzlies are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7.6 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (8.1), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (38.0% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 36.1% on the season).

Montana betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-9-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 5-6-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-11-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 5-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.9 (21st in nation) 42.6 (96th) 32.0 (193rd) 29.9 (116th) 15.7 (81st) 13.7 (347th)

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Montana State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Montana State is 5-4-0 at home against the spread (.556 winning percentage). Away, it is 8-5-0 ATS (.615).
  • Bobcats games have finished above the over/under more often at home (five times out of nine) than away (six of 13) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Bobcats have played worse offensively over their previous 10 games, compiling 74.9 points per contest, 2.7 fewer points their than season average of 77.6.
  • While Montana State is surrendering 70.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 72.5 points per contest.
  • The Bobcats are sinking 0.7 fewer threes per game in their past 10 games (9.0) compared to their season average (9.7), but they are producing a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (38.8%) compared to their season mark (36.3%).

Montana State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-9-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-11-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-4 (Home: 7-2; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.0 (136th in nation) 44.5 (210th) 30.6 (272nd) 30.3 (140th) 11.2 (341st) 9.7 (49th)
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