Montana vs. Sacramento State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 26

Data Skrive

Two struggling teams meet when the Montana Grizzlies (14-14, 8-7 Big Sky) host the Sacramento State Hornets (9-18, 5-10 Big Sky) on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET. The Hornets are 7.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a three-game losing streak against the Grizzlies, losers of three straight. The matchup has a point total of 162.5.

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Montana Cover -7.5 vs Sacramento State -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Montana vs. Sacramento State betting lines

  • Montana moneyline odds to win: -369
  • Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +281
  • Spread: Montana (-7.5)
  • Total: 162.5

Montana statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Montana sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (6-5-0) than it does on the road (6-7-0).
  • When playing at home, the Grizzlies eclipse the total 54.5% of the time (six of 11 games). They’ve hit the over in 46.2% of games on the road (six of 13 contests).
  • In 10 home games as a moneyline favorite, Montana has five wins (.500). It sports the same winning percentage (2-2 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Grizzlies have been racking up 75.0 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 77.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Montana allow 74.0 points per game, equal to its season-long average.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Grizzlies are making 0.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.3 compared to 8.1 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.2% compared to 36.0% season-long).

Montana betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-7 (Home: 5-5; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.3 (24th in nation) 43.5 (132nd) 31.3 (231st) 30.0 (117th) 15.4 (93rd) 13.5 (343rd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Montana vs. Sacramento State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Sacramento State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Sacramento State is 7-4-0 at home against the spread (.636 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-10-0 ATS (.286).
  • Hornets games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (eight times out of 11) than away (eight of 14) this season.
  • In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Hornets have a better winning percentage at home (.429, 3-4 record) than away (.000, 0-14).

Recent trends

  • The Hornets are scoring 81.6 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 2.1 more than their average for the season (79.5).
  • While Sacramento State is ceding 83.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 84.6 points per contest.
  • The Hornets are draining 0.6 fewer threes per game over their past 10 games (7.1) compared to their season average (7.7), but they are producing a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (36.0%) compared to their season mark (33.7%).

Sacramento State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-14-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 4-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 9-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-9-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-18 (Home: 3-4; Away: 0-14)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.6 (317th in nation) 46.2 (292nd) 32.5 (146th) 36.6 (360th) 13.2 (238th) 10.6 (136th)
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