Montana vs. Sacramento State betting: College basketball preview for February 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Montana Grizzlies (20-8, 13-2 Big Sky) are favored (-7.5) to build on a nine-game win streak when they visit the Sacramento State Hornets (7-21, 3-12 Big Sky) at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at The Nest. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points.

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Spread

Montana Cover -7.5 vs Sacramento State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Montana vs. Sacramento State betting lines

  • Montana moneyline odds to win: -385
  • Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +300
  • Spread: Montana (-7.5)
  • Total: 143.5

Montana statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Montana has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered seven times in 12 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered seven times in 13 opportunities in road games.
  • The Grizzlies have exceeded the total in seven of 12 home games (58.3%). They’ve fared better in away games, topping the total in nine of 13 matchups (69.2%).
  • Montana has played worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 9-1, compared to going 3-0 on the road.

Recent trends

  • The Grizzlies have seen an uptick in scoring lately, racking up 79.3 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.4 points more than the 76.9 they’ve scored this season.
  • Montana’s defense has been tough lately, as the team has given up 72.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 74.0 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Grizzlies are making 1.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.8 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (46.1% compared to 36.2% season-long).

Montana betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-10-1 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 7-5-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 1-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-1; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-9-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 9-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-1 (Home: 9-1; Away: 3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-7 (Home: 2-0; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
50.0 (third in nation) 45.9 (303rd) 28.1 (339th) 29.9 (104th) 14.0 (146th) 10.4 (100th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Montana vs. Sacramento State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Sacramento State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Sacramento State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .250 (3-9-0). On the road, it is .500 (7-6-1).
  • Hornets games have gone above the over/under less often at home (five times out of 12) than away (six of 14) this year.
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Hornets have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-7) than on the road (2-12).

Recent trends

  • While the Hornets are putting up 67.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have bettered that mark over their last 10 games, amassing 69.7 a contest.
  • Sacramento State is giving up 77.8 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 7.5 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.3).
  • The Hornets are draining 9.3 three-pointers per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.8 more than their average for the season (8.5). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (37.8%) compared to their season average from three-point land (33.8%).

Sacramento State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-15-1 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 7-6-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 5-6-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 9-13-1)
  • O-U-P: 11-15-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 6-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-19 (Home: 2-7; Away: 2-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.3 (268th in nation) 43.6 (162nd) 31.9 (183rd) 29.1 (66th) 13.2 (214th) 13.1 (325th)
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