The Evansville Purple Aces (4-12, 0-5 MVC) are 8.5-point underdogs as they look to stop a three-game home losing streak when they host the Murray State Racers (13-3, 5-0 MVC) on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at Ford Center. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 153.5 points.

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Murray State vs. Evansville betting lines

• Murray State moneyline odds to win: -426
• Evansville moneyline odds to win: +324
• Spread: Murray State (-8.5)
• Total: 153.5

Murray State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Murray State covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games last year. Murray State covered four times in 11 games at home, and it covered seven times in 13 games on the road.
• At home last season, the Racers exceed the total 36.4% of the time (four of 11 games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, exceeding the total in 69.2% of games (nine of 13).
• Murray State won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home last season, going 6-3 (.667). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it had a record of 2-3 (.400).

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Racers have been scoring 85.3 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 88.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
• Murray State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (76.3) is 1.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (77.4).
• While the Racers are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (10.4 per game) compared to their season-long average (10.6), they are doing so while shooting the same percentage from deep (37.7%).

Murray State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 10-6-0 (Home: 6-2-0; Away: 1-2-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-4-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
• O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)

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Evansville statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• This season, Evansville is 3-3-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-2-0 ATS (.600).
• Purple Aces games have gone above the over/under less often at home (three times out of six) than on the road (three of five) this season.
• The Purple Aces’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-3) and on the road (0-5).

Recent trends

• While the Purple Aces are putting up 66.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, producing 62.5 points per contest.
• Evansville has performed worse defensively in its last 10 games, surrendering 74.9 points per contest, 2.5 more points than its season average of 72.4.
• The Purple Aces are making 7.0 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.1). Additionally, they have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (30.4%) compared to their season average from three-point land (30.5%).

Evansville betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 3-2-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
• O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 3-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-10 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-5)