The Evansville Purple Aces (6-21, 2-14 MVC) visit the Murray State Racers (19-10, 11-7 MVC) after losing five straight road games. The Racers are heavy favorites by 14.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The point total is set at 153.5 in the matchup.
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Murray State Cover -14.5 vs Evansville -115
Murray State vs. Evansville betting lines
- Murray State moneyline odds to win: -1562
- Evansville moneyline odds to win: +867
- Spread: Murray State (-14.5)
- Total: 153.5
Murray State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Murray State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered eight times in 14 opportunities at home, and it has covered three times in 10 opportunities in road games.
- The Racers have exceeded the total in five of 14 home games (35.7%). They’ve done better on the road, topping the total in six of 10 matchups (60%).
- At home, Murray State has won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 10-2 (.833). On the road, it is 5-2 (.714) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Racers’ offense has been much worse over their last 10 games, putting up 75.4 points a contest compared to the 83.5 they’ve averaged this season.
- Murray State has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 83.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 79.4 it has conceded this season.
- The Racers are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 7.2 threes per game and shooting 28.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.4 makes and 34.5% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Murray State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 12-10-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
- O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-5 (Home: 10-2; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (101st in nation) | 46.9 (315th) | 34.2 (76th) | 31.3 (202nd) | 13.7 (194th) | 11.8 (252nd) |
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Evansville statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Evansville’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .455 (5-6-0). On the road, it is .545 (6-5-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Purple Aces games have gone over six of 11 times at home (54.5%), and five of 11 away (45.5%).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Purple Aces have a better winning percentage at home (.125, 1-7 record) than on the road (.091, 1-10).
Recent trends
- While the Purple Aces are averaging 66.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, producing 66.4 points per contest.
- Evansville has fared worse defensively over its previous 10 games, giving up 79.6 points per contest, 4.3 more points than its season average of 75.3.
- The Purple Aces are sinking 9.2 three-pointers per game with a 35.8% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.6 and 32.2%.
Evansville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-13-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 11-11-0)
- O-U-P: 12-13-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-19 (Home: 1-7; Away: 1-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5 (313th in nation) | 45.9 (276th) | 28.3 (337th) | 32.3 (252nd) | 13.1 (241st) | 12.6 (309th) |
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