Murray State vs. Evansville betting: MVC Tournament preview for March 6

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 7 seed Murray State Racers (15-16, 9-11 MVC) and the No. 10 seed Evansville Purple Aces (11-20, 8-12 MVC) square off in the MVC Tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Murray State is favored by 5.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is set at 130.

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Spread

Murray State Cover -5.5 vs Evansville -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Murray State vs. Evansville betting lines

  • Murray State moneyline odds to win: -247
  • Evansville moneyline odds to win: +202
  • Spread: Murray State (-5.5)
  • Total: 130

Murray State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Racers’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 66.9 points a contest compared to the 72.1 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Murray State has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 68.3 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 69.6 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2024-25 season.
  • The Racers are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 6.9 threes per game and shooting 30.4% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.5 makes and 34.2% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Murray State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 4-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-13-1 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 9-3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-7 (Home: 6-3; Away: 2-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.5 (253rd in nation) 45.5 (269th) 30.3 (283rd) 29.5 (79th) 11.6 (314th) 10.7 (127th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Murray State vs. Evansville? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Evansville statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Purple Aces are putting up 69.4 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 66.5.
  • While Evansville is ceding 70.6 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 72.0 points per contest.
  • In their past 10 games, the Purple Aces are making 6.3 three-pointers per game, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (6.9). They own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.3%) compared to their season average (30.5%).

Evansville betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 11-7-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 13-13-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-18 (Home: 5-7; Away: 4-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.5 (253rd in nation) 41.9 (76th) 29.5 (317th) 32.5 (269th) 12.8 (242nd) 11.3 (193rd)
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