The Murray State Racers (14-3, 6-0 MVC) are heavy, 11.5-point favorites as they look to extend a 10-game winning streak when they host the Valparaiso Beacons (8-8, 2-3 MVC) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at CFSB Center. The game airs at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under for the matchup is set at 152.5.
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Murray State Cover -11.5 vs Valparaiso -109
Murray State vs. Valparaiso betting lines
- Murray State moneyline odds to win: -787
- Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +539
- Spread: Murray State (-11.5)
- Total: 152.5
Murray State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Murray State sports a better record against the spread at home (6-2-0) than it does in road games (2-2-0).
- The Racers have hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (37.5%) than road tilts (50%).
- Murray State, as a moneyline favorite, has the same winning percentage when playing at home (7-0 record) and on the road (3-0 record).
Recent trends
- The Racers’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 87.2 points a contest compared to the 87.7 they’ve averaged this season.
- Murray State has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 75.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 76.9 it has surrendered per game this year.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Racers are making 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.2 compared to 10.4 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.1% compared to 37.2% season-long).
Murray State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-6-0 (Home: 6-2-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-4-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (70th in nation) | 44.4 (235th) | 35.6 (69th) | 30.9 (166th) | 15.7 (105th) | 11.8 (209th) |
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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Valparaiso has had better results away (5-1-0) than at home (6-3-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Beacons games have finished over three of nine times at home (33.3%), and four of six on the road (66.7%).
- This season the Beacons are 1-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). On the road they are 1-5 (.167).
Recent trends
- The Beacons have fared better offensively in their last 10 games, scoring 73.4 points per contest, 2.1 more than their season average of 71.3.
- Valparaiso is allowing 69.5 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (69.8).
- The Beacons are sinking 6.8 treys per contest over their last 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.7%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (31.0%).
Valparaiso betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-4-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-2-0; As Underdog: 7-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-8-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 (343rd in nation) | 42.3 (111th) | 33.5 (156th) | 32.8 (269th) | 11.8 (326th) | 10.1 (58th) |
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