Murray State vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for January 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Valparaiso Beacons (10-6, 3-2 MVC) will attempt to extend a three-game win streak when they visit the Murray State Racers (9-7, 3-2 MVC) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at CFSB Center as 7-point underdogs. The contest airs at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is 145.5.

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Murray State Cover -7 vs Valparaiso -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Murray State vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Murray State moneyline odds to win: -314
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +250
  • Spread: Murray State (-7)
  • Total: 145.5

Murray State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Murray State has fared worse at home, covering one time in five home games, and four times in six road games.
  • The Racers have hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of home games (40%) than games on the road (66.7%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Murray State has taken three of five games at home, good for a .600 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Racers have been racking up 70.1 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Murray State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (70.8) is 2.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.7).
  • The Racers’ past 10 contests have seen them make 7.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are below their 2024-25 averages of 7.9 makes and 37.8%.

Murray State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 4-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 2-6-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-6-1 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 4-1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-4 (Home: 3-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.6 (103rd in nation) 44.9 (281st) 28.9 (338th) 28.3 (48th) 12.1 (304th) 11.3 (159th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Murray State vs. Valparaiso? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Valparaiso is 6-2-0 at home against the spread (.750 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-2-0 ATS (.600).
  • Beacons games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (four of eight), and 80% of the time on the road (four of five).
  • The Beacons, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-1) than on the road (2-3) this season.

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Beacons are putting up 80.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 80.7.
  • In its past 10 games, Valparaiso is surrendering 77.8 points per contest, 4.0 more points than its season average (73.8).
  • Over their last 10 games, the Beacons are sinking 8.6 treys per game, 0.8 more than their season average (7.8). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (36.0%) compared to their season average (34.0%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-5-0 (Home: 6-2-0; Away: 3-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-2-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-5-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 4-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 4-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.2 (222nd in nation) 45.8 (299th) 33.5 (143rd) 30.5 (145th) 12.6 (270th) 10.0 (48th)
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