Murray State vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for Dec. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Murray State Racers (9-3, 1-0 MVC) are favored (-5.5) to extend a five-game win streak when they visit the Valparaiso Beacons (6-5, 0-0 MVC) at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 21, 2025 at Athletics-Recreation Center. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The point total is set at 153.5 for the matchup.

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Murray State Cover -5.5 vs Valparaiso -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Murray State vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Murray State moneyline odds to win: -251
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +205
  • Spread: Murray State (-5.5)
  • Total: 153.5

Murray State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • When playing at home last season, Murray State had a worse record against the spread (4-7-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (7-6-0).
  • The Racers went over the total less often when playing at home last season, hitting the over in four of 11 home matchups (36.4%). In away games, they hit the over in nine of 13 games (69.2%).
  • As a moneyline favorite last season, Murray State took six of nine games when playing at home, good for a .667 winning percentage. Murray State won two of five games away from home (.400) as a moneyline favorite.

Last season stats

  • Last year, the Racers were 239th in the nation offensively (71.8 points scored per game) and 85th on defense (69.2 points allowed).
  • Murray State collected 30.5 rebounds per game and conceded 29.3 boards last season, ranking 271st and 60th, respectively, in the country.
  • The Racers were 300th in the country in assists (11.8 per game) last year.

Murray State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-4-0 (Home: 5-1-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-2-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-4-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-1 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.0 (72nd in nation) 44.7 (254th) 35.5 (85th) 30.8 (171st) 16.2 (93rd) 11.9 (206th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Murray State vs. Valparaiso? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Valparaiso has had better results away (3-1-0) than at home (4-2-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Beacons games have gone over less often at home (one of six, 16.7%) than on the road (four of four, 100%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Beacons have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than on the road (1-3).

Last season stats

  • With 74.7 points per game on offense, the Beacons were 147th in the nation last season. At the other end, they allowed 73.9 points per contest, which ranked 238th in college basketball.
  • Valparaiso grabbed 31.1 boards per game (229th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 31.9 rebounds per contest (226th-ranked).
  • The Beacons ranked 292nd in the country with 12.0 dimes per game.

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-3-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 5-5-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 4-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 4-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.2 (334th in nation) 41.2 (81st) 34.5 (123rd) 32.6 (259th) 12.5 (304th) 10.2 (72nd)
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