The NC State Wolfpack (10-4, 1-0 ACC) are favored (-4.5) to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the No. 21 Virginia Cavaliers (11-2, 0-1 ACC) at 11 a.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026 at Lenovo Center. The matchup airs on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
NC State Cover -4.5 vs Virginia -118
NC State vs. Virginia betting lines
- NC State moneyline odds to win: -231
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: +190
- Spread: NC State (-4.5)
- Total: 154.5
NC State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- NC State covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games last season. NC State covered eight times in 18 opportunities when playing at home, and it covered two times in 11 opportunities in road games.
- At home last season, the Wolfpack exceed the over/under 33.3% of the time (six of 18 games). They hit the over more consistently in away games, going over the total in 54.5% of games (six of 11).
- As a moneyline favorite, NC State won a higher percentage of its games at home (.909) compared to road games (.000) last season.
Last season stats
- On offense, the Wolfpack were the 294th-ranked team in the nation (69.6 points per game) last season. Defensively, they were 126th (70.4 points conceded per game).
- On the glass, NC State was 316th in college basketball in rebounds (29.6 per game) last year. It was 287th in rebounds conceded (32.9 per game).
- The Wolfpack were 260th in college basketball in assists (12.5 per game) last year.
NC State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 8-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.7 (55th in nation) | 41.7 (94th) | 34.7 (111th) | 31.1 (185th) | 17.3 (56th) | 10.2 (71st) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on NC State vs. Virginia? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Last season, Virginia was 7-10-0 at home against the spread (.412 winning percentage). Away, it was 5-6-0 ATS (.455).
- In terms of the over/under, Cavaliers games went over eight of 17 times at home (47.1%) and nine of 11 away (81.8%) last season.
- The Cavaliers, when moneyline underdogs, won a lower percentage of games at home (1-6) than on the road (4-7) last season.
Last season stats
- While the Cavaliers ranked in the bottom 25 in the nation in points per game last season with 64.8 (fifth-worst), they ranked 39th in college basketball with 66.8 points surrendered per contest.
- While Virginia was in the bottom 25 in the country in rebounds per game with 26.8 (worst), it ranked 104th in college basketball with 30.1 rebounds allowed per game.
- The Cavaliers delivered 14.7 assists per game, which ranked them 93rd in the country.
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-6-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (67th in nation) | 38.7 (20th) | 38.9 (17th) | 30.5 (151st) | 17.5 (48th) | 10.2 (71st) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
