The Air Force Falcons (3-14, 0-6 MWC) are heavy underdogs (by 15.5 points) to break a five-game home losing streak when they host the Nevada Wolf Pack (12-5, 4-2 MWC) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 133.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Nevada Cover -15.5 vs Air Force -112
Nevada vs. Air Force betting lines
- Nevada moneyline odds to win: -1852
- Air Force moneyline odds to win: +985
- Spread: Nevada (-15.5)
- Total: 133.5
Nevada statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- When playing at home, Nevada owns a worse record against the spread (5-5-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (3-2-0).
- At home, the Wolf Pack go over the total 60% of the time (six of 10 games). They’ve hit the over in 20% of road games (one of five contests).
- Nevada has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 7-1 (.875). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Wolf Pack have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 75.7 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 76.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- The past 10 games have seen Nevada concede 2.5 fewer points per game (69.4) than its season-long average (71.9).
- During their past 10 outings, the Wolf Pack are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.1 compared to 6.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (40.3% compared to 37.5% season-long).
Nevada betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 1-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.3 (283rd in nation) | 44.3 (216th) | 31.7 (240th) | 30.5 (149th) | 14.4 (173rd) | 8.8 (sixth) |
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Air Force statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Air Force has a lower winning percentage at home (.364, 4-7-0 record) than on the road (.400, 2-3-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Falcons games have finished over six of 11 times at home (54.5%), and two of five on the road (40%).
- This season the Falcons are 1-8 at home as moneyline underdogs (.111 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-5 (.000).
Recent trends
- The Falcons are putting up 56.3 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 5.7 fewer points than their average for the season (62.0).
- In its last 10 games, Air Force is surrendering 76.8 points per contest, 1.2 more points than its season average (75.6).
- The Falcons are draining 4.5 three-pointers per game in their previous 10 games, which is 1.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (5.8). Additionally, they have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (24.2%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (29.4%).
Air Force betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-11-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 15.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 5-10-0)
- O-U-P: 8-9-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-14 (Home: 1-8; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.4 (280th in nation) | 46.6 (309th) | 27.5 (350th) | 31.9 (228th) | 11.7 (329th) | 13.4 (329th) |
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