The Air Force Falcons (3-12, 0-4 MWC) host the New Mexico Lobos (12-3, 3-1 MWC) after losing four home games in a row. The Lobos are double-digit favorites by 16.5 points in the contest, which tips at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 10, 2026. The over/under in the matchup is set at 137.
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Bet $20, Payout $36.67
New Mexico Cover -16.5 vs Air Force -120
New Mexico vs. Air Force betting lines
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -2381
- Air Force moneyline odds to win: +1140
- Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
- Total: 137
New Mexico statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- New Mexico has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in eight opportunities at home, and it has covered two times in four opportunities in away games.
- When it comes to over/unders, the Lobos hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total four times in eight opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in four opportunities (75%).
- At home, New Mexico has won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 7-0 (1.000). When playing on the road, it is 1-1 (.500) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Lobos’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, putting up 82.3 points per contest compared to the 79.7 they’ve averaged this year.
- The past 10 games have seen New Mexico give up 67.5 points per game, which equals its season-long average.
- The Lobos’ last 10 outings have seen them make 9.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.0% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 9.2 makes and 33.2%.
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-5-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3 (189th in nation) | 39.9 (41st) | 33.9 (138th) | 32.3 (243rd) | 14.4 (176th) | 10.3 (81st) |
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Air Force statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Air Force’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (4-6-0). On the road, it is .500 (2-2-0).
- Falcons games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (five of 10), and 25% of the time away (one of four).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Falcons have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-7) than away (0-4).
Recent trends
- While the Falcons are putting up 62.9 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, amassing 62.7 points per contest.
- While Air Force is surrendering 74.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 75.5 points per contest.
- The Falcons are sinking 0.8 fewer threes per game over their previous 10 games (5.1) compared to their season average (5.9), and they are delivering a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (26.4%) compared to their season mark (29.6%).
Air Force betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 5-8-0)
- O-U-P: 6-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-12 (Home: 1-7; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.4 (277th in nation) | 46.5 (308th) | 27.7 (348th) | 31.9 (229th) | 11.9 (323rd) | 12.8 (294th) |
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