The Air Force Falcons (3-22, 0-14 MWC) are heavy, 28.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop an 18-game losing streak when they visit the New Mexico Lobos (19-6, 10-4 MWC) on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at The Pit. The game airs at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The over/under in the matchup is set at 148.5.
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New Mexico Cover -28.5 vs Air Force -111
New Mexico vs. Air Force betting lines
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -9091
- Air Force moneyline odds to win: +2367
- Spread: New Mexico (-28.5)
- Total: 148.5
New Mexico statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, New Mexico has performed worse when playing at home, covering six times in 13 home games, and six times in nine road games.
- The Lobos have hit the over on the total in eight of 13 home games (61.5%). They’ve fared better in road games, going over the total in six of nine matchups (66.7%).
- In home games, New Mexico has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 10-2 (.833). In away games, it is 4-1 (.800) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Lobos’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 82.5 points per contest compared to the 80.8 they’ve averaged this season.
- New Mexico’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 72.5 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 69.5 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Lobos are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 10.0 threes per game and shooting 40.8% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.5 makes and 36.0% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 16-8-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (140th in nation) | 40.9 (39th) | 33.6 (102nd) | 32.2 (247th) | 14.8 (120th) | 10.1 (79th) |
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Air Force statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Air Force has the same winning percentage against the spread (.333) at home (5-10-0 record) and on the road (3-6-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Falcons games have finished over 10 of 15 times at home (66.7%), and five of nine away (55.6%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Falcons have a better winning percentage at home (.077, 1-12 record) than away (.000, 0-9).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Falcons are putting up 59.3 points per game, 2.1 fewer points than their season average (61.4).
- Air Force is giving up 85.1 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 79.0 points allowed.
- In their last 10 games, the Falcons are draining 8.2 three-pointers per contest, 1.4 more than their season average (6.8). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.7%) compared to their season average (31.5%).
Air Force betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-17-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 15-10-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-22 (Home: 1-12; Away: 0-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.7 (308th in nation) | 48.9 (355th) | 26.6 (360th) | 32.4 (261st) | 12.4 (292nd) | 13.8 (350th) |
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