The New Mexico Lobos (20-6, 11-4 MWC) visit the Fresno State Bulldogs (12-14, 6-9 MWC) after winning three straight road games. The Lobos are favored by 8.5 points in the contest, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The matchup has a point total of 157.5.
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New Mexico Cover -8.5 vs Fresno State -116
New Mexico vs. Fresno State betting lines
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -465
- Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +346
- Spread: New Mexico (-8.5)
- Total: 157.5
New Mexico statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- New Mexico has a worse record against the spread in home games (7-7-0) than it does in away games (6-3-0).
- The Lobos have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (64.3%) than away games (66.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite, New Mexico has won a higher percentage of its home games (.846) compared to away games (.800).
Recent trends
- The Lobos’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 83.2 points per contest compared to the 81.5 they’ve averaged this year.
- New Mexico’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (73.7) is 4.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.2).
- The Lobos’ last 10 outings have seen them make 10.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 42.1% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 9.7 makes and 36.6%.
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 5-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 17-8-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (122nd in nation) | 40.7 (35th) | 34.1 (78th) | 31.8 (230th) | 15.1 (106th) | 10.2 (89th) |
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Fresno State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Fresno State has a better winning percentage at home (.714, 10-4-0 record) than away (.667, 6-3-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, seven of 14) compared to away (55.6%, five of nine).
- The Bulldogs’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .625 (5-3), and away it is .000 (0-6).
Recent trends
- While the Bulldogs are averaging 74.0 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark in their previous 10 games, tallying 76.2 a contest.
- While Fresno State is ceding 72.6 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 75.3 points per contest.
- The Bulldogs are draining 7.7 threes per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.1 more than their average for the season (7.6). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.5%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (32.2%).
Fresno State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-8-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 11-4-0)
- O-U-P: 12-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 5-3; Away: 0-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (218th in nation) | 44.1 (178th) | 31.1 (242nd) | 32.0 (238th) | 13.2 (238th) | 12.3 (297th) |
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