The Denver Nuggets (39-24) will look to Jamal Murray (11th in the league scoring 25.7 points per game) when they attempt to knock off Jalen Brunson (ninth in the NBA with 26.5 PPG) and the New York Knicks (40-23) on Friday, March 6, 2026 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 1.5-point home underdogs in the game, which begins at 9 p.m. ET on ALT2, KTVD, KUSA, and MSG. The matchup has an over/under of 230.5 points.
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Knicks Cover -1.5 vs Nuggets -102
Knicks vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Knicks odds to win: -111
- Nuggets odds to win: -108
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
- Total: 230.5
Knicks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- New York has covered the spread 13 times on the road and are 17-14 in road contests.
- New York has a 9-12 record ATS on the road this year as 1.5-point favorites or more.
- On the road this year, Knicks games have hit the over on the set point total 14 times.
- This season on the road, New York and its opponents have averaged a total of 229.9 points per contest, 0.6 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Knicks Recent Trends
- The Knicks have a 6-4 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- The Knicks’ past 10 contests saw four hit the over.
- The last 10 Knicks games averaged 224.9 total points, 5.6 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over the past 10 games, the Knicks are scoring 2.6 points less per game compared to their season average.
Knicks Betting Records
- The Knicks have put together a 35-15 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 70% of those games).
- New York has a record of 35-15 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter (winning 70%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Knicks’ implied win probability is 52.6%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (12th in NBA) | 45.7 (sixth) | 46 (seventh) | 41.5 (fifth) | 27.1 (10th) | 12.9 (fourth) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Nuggets games have gone over the set point total 14 times at home this season.
- The Nuggets are 17-12 in home contests and have covered the spread 14 times at home.
- This season, the Nuggets are 10-10 ATS at home when playing as 1.5-point underdogs or more.
- Recent performance hints at an edge to the Nuggets to beat the total. This year their home games averaged a total of 233.4 points per contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread four times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The final scores of the past 10 Nuggets games have exceeded the set total five times.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 6.1 more points (236.6) than this matchup’s point total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Nuggets have a 120.7 points-per-game average, 0.3 points above their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- This season, Denver has been the underdog 20 times and won nine, or 45%, of those games.
- The Nuggets are 9-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -108 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 51.9% chance of a victory for the Nuggets.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 (second in NBA) | 46.8 (13th) | 43.2 (21st) | 42.6 (eighth) | 28 (ninth) | 12.3 (third) |
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