Mets vs. Padres Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 30, 2025

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Data Skrive

Clay Holmes will attempt to collect his 10th win of the season when his New York Mets (62-45) visit the San Diego Padres (58-49) on Wednesday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are favored in the matchup (-129) against the Padres (+108). New York’s Holmes and San Diego’s Yu Darvish will take the mound first.

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Odds to Win

Mets to win vs Padres -129

Bet $20, Payout $35.50

Mets vs. Padres betting lines

  • Favorite: Mets (-129)
  • Underdog: Padres (+108)
  • Over/under: 8

Mets betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Mets betting info

  • The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 75 total times this season. They’ve gone 49-26 in those games.
  • When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter, New York has a 40-21 record (winning 65.6% of its games).
  • The Mets have a 56.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 47 times this season for a 47-56-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have covered 48.6% of their games this season, going 52-55-0 ATS.

Mets hitting info

  • Juan Soto has a team-high 25 homers.
  • Among hitters in MLB action, Soto ranks 10th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .251 with 20 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Lindor currently ranks 22nd in homers and 39th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Pete Alonso has a team-high batting average of .263 and paces the Mets in runs batted in (81).
  • Brandon Nimmo has 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .260.
  • Nimmo enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.

Mets pitching rankings

  • The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors.
  • New York’s 3.55 team ERA ranks second among all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Mets have the 21st-ranked WHIP in the majors (1.308).
  • Mets pitchers combine to allow the first-fewest home runs in baseball (93 total, 0.9 per game).
  • New York struck out nine Padres batters while allowing 14 hits in a 7-6 loss in its last game.

Padres betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Padres betting info

  • This season, the Padres have been the underdog 52 times and won 26, or 50%, of those games.
  • This season, San Diego has won 18 of its 39 games, or 46.2%, when it’s the underdog by at least +108 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 48.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of its 107 games with a total this season.
  • The Padres are 58-49-0 against the spread this season.

Padres hitting info

  • Manny Machado leads San Diego in batting average (.302), home runs (19) and runs batted in (66) this season.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Machado’s home run total is 29th, and his RBI total is 19th.
  • Machado has safely hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBIs.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has collected 107 hits this season and has an OBP of .366. He’s slugging .451 on the year.
  • Tatis is 49th overall in home runs and 96th in RBI this season.
  • Tatis brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
  • Luis Arraez has 120 hits this season and a slash line of .292/.326/.404.
  • Arraez heads into this game on an 11-game hitting streak. During his last 10 games he is hitting .381 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBIs.
  • Xander Bogaerts has 102 hits and an OBP of .342 to go with a slugging percentage of .389 this season.
  • Bogaerts has hit safely in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .304 with two doubles, a home run and two RBIs.

Padres pitching rankings

  • The Padres average the 11th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the majors this season.
  • San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.63 ERA this year, fifth-best in baseball.
  • The Padres have a combined WHIP of just 1.231 as a pitching staff, which is the fifth-best in baseball this season.
  • The Padres have allowed the sixth-fewest home runs this season at just 106, or 1.0 per game.
  • San Diego earned a 7-6 win in its most recent game, striking out 15 Mets batters while allowing six hits.
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