NFL action for Week 15 includes the Houston Texans and Nico Collins hitting the field versus the Arizona Cardinals at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece, we’ll dig into Collins’ stats and trends to help you pick out the top bets among his props for this contest.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Nico Collins to go over 76.5 yards
Nico Collins Prop Lines
- Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 14, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 76.5 (-111)
Nico Collins Stats and Trends
- Collins has 61 receptions (while being targeted 103 times) for a team-high 916 yards and four TDs, averaging 76.3 yards per game.
- Collins averages 76.3 receiving yards, 0.2 fewer than the over/under of 76.5 that has been set for Sunday’s outing.
- Collins has put up over 76.5 receiving yards in 50.0% of his games this year (six out of 12).
- He picks up 76.3 receiving yards per game, 5.0 more than his average over/under (71.3).
- In seven of 12 games, Collins has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet.
- He has four games with a touchdown catch this year, out of 12 played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Cardinals
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saints | 208 | 0 |
| 2 | Panthers | 303 | 3 |
| 3 | 49ers | 282 | 1 |
| 4 | Seahawks | 229 | 1 |
| 5 | Titans | 249 | 0 |
| 6 | Colts | 205 | 2 |
| 7 | Packers | 168 | 1 |
| 9 | Cowboys | 210 | 1 |
| 10 | Seahawks | 174 | 1 |
| 11 | 49ers | 186 | 3 |
| 12 | Jaguars | 237 | 3 |
| 13 | Buccaneers | 184 | 1 |
| 14 | Rams | 281 | 3 |
Texans Home Splits
- The Texans’ average points scored (24.2) and conceded (16.8) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 21.8 and 16, respectively.
- At home, the Texans rack up 339.2 yards per game and give up 261.3. That’s more than they gain overall (322.2), but less than they allow (266.3).
- The Texans’ average yards passing at home (225) is higher than their overall average (216.5). And their average yards allowed at home (155.3) is lower than overall (172).
- The Texans’ average rushing yards gained (114.2) and allowed (106) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 105.7 and 94.3, respectively.
- The Texans’ offensive third-down percentage (38.1%) and defensive third-down percentage (34.2%) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 36.3% and 33.3%, respectively.
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